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天奈科技(688116):出货保持增长,单壁管放量增厚盈利
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-22 13:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a total revenue of 1.45 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.1%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to decline by 15.8% to 250 million yuan. The non-recurring net profit is anticipated to increase by 13.6% to 240 million yuan [2][4] - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 410 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 17.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 50.2% year-on-year to 70 million yuan, while the non-recurring net profit fell by 8.9% to 60 million yuan [2][4] - For Q1 2025, the company expects a revenue of 330 million yuan, which is a 9.0% year-on-year increase but a 17.9% decrease quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow by 8.1% year-on-year to 60 million yuan [2][4] Financial Performance - The company's carbon nanotube powder sales for the entire year of 2024 were 78 tons, a decrease of 20.79% year-on-year, while carbon nanotube conductive paste sales reached 85,000 tons, an increase of 55.97% year-on-year. The domestic market share for carbon nanotube conductive paste is 53.2%, driven by demand from key customers [9] - The gross profit margin for 2024 is expected to be 35.18%, an increase of 1.58 percentage points year-on-year. The total expense ratio for the year is projected to be 15.75%, up 0.74 percentage points year-on-year [9] - In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin is expected to be 33.19%, a decrease of 1.26 percentage points year-on-year. The total expense ratio is projected to be 15.39%, a decrease of 0.41 percentage points year-on-year [9] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory in shipments, with a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 28% in Q1 2025. This growth is attributed to changes in product structure and customer ramp-up [9] - The company is positioned as a leading global supplier of carbon nanotube conductive agents and is anticipated to achieve continued rapid growth alongside the lithium battery industry. The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is approximately 430 million yuan, corresponding to a valuation of about 37 times [9]