Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the industry, suggesting potential investment opportunities due to favorable macroeconomic conditions and policy directions. Core Insights - The report highlights the likelihood of a short-term compromise in US-China tariff negotiations, which could alleviate market pressures [1][5] - Continuous foreign capital inflow into A-shares is noted, with an increasing allocation from active foreign investors [1][6] - The US CPI data falling below expectations strengthens the Federal Reserve's rate cut outlook, potentially leading to a positive market impact [1][7] - The trend of "deposit migration" into the market is evident, although a slight decline in September indicates that wealth effects have yet to materialize [1][8] - The report emphasizes the need to address structural issues to ensure sustainable capital market inflows, focusing on debt pressure resolution, technological innovation, and social security improvements [1][11][12] Summary by Sections Section: Market Impact of Policies - The Fourth Plenary Session and the upcoming Fifteen Plan are expected to significantly influence both short-term and long-term market trends, particularly in modern industries, technology, domestic demand, and employment [2] - The Fifteen Plan emphasizes technological autonomy, real estate adjustments, and geopolitical changes, with a focus on innovation and domestic demand expansion [4][17] Section: Foreign Capital Inflow - Active foreign capital allocation to China is increasing, with a notable reduction in the gap between active and passive funds [6] Section: Economic Indicators - The US CPI data has diminished inflation concerns, leading to a near 100% probability of rate cuts in October and December, which may positively affect the market [7] Section: Deposit Migration Trends - The trend of deposit migration into the market has been significant since July, although a slight decline in September suggests that the wealth effect is not yet fully realized [8] Section: Structural Issues and Policy Directions - Current policy directions aim to resolve structural issues, including debt pressure, promoting technological innovation, and enhancing social security systems to facilitate sustainable market inflows [11][12][13] Section: Real Estate Market Dynamics - The real estate market is in the early stages of stabilizing, with a focus on improving transaction volumes and price expectations to create a positive cycle [29][31][33] Section: Future Industry Focus - Future investment opportunities are identified in high-end manufacturing, digital technology, space economy, and biotechnology, alongside new consumer models and product upgrades [26][20] Section: Long-term Market Outlook - The long-term outlook for the capital market remains positive, supported by government focus on market development and favorable macroeconomic conditions [27]