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美股迎关键财报周!六大行业绩成市场“试金石”,能否对冲政治僵局阴霾?
智通财经网· 2025-10-12 23:21
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant downturn, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Russell 2000 indices recording their worst single-day performance since April 10, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw its worst day since May due to escalating trade war risks and the ongoing government shutdown [1] - The upcoming week will mark the second full trading week following the government shutdown, with key economic data updates on import prices, retail sales, hourly wages, and initial jobless claims being delayed due to the political stalemate in Washington [1] Earnings Season - The new earnings season for U.S. stocks is set to begin, with major banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo expected to report strong third-quarter results, driven by a robust recovery in investment banking and resilient economic conditions supporting consumer and business loans [2] Government Shutdown Impact - The ongoing government shutdown has had a relatively mild impact on major stock indices, with Deutsche Bank describing its market effect as "insignificant" [3] - The healthcare sector may face significant consequences from the shutdown, particularly regarding the Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies, which are set to expire at the end of the year. The Democratic Party is advocating for over $1 trillion in funding to extend these subsidies, while the Republican Party is pushing for their expiration [3] - Major health insurance providers like UnitedHealth and Humana could see a loss of millions of insured individuals if the subsidies are terminated, while companies focused on ACA plans, such as Centene, may experience substantial profit margin impacts [3] Job Market Dynamics - The government shutdown has led to a surge in job applications from federal employees, with applications up 157% compared to January 1 levels and 132% year-over-year as of October 9, according to Indeed [4] - The White House has initiated large-scale layoffs rather than the typical "back pay" arrangement after unpaid leave, which could further affect private sector hiring as companies may hesitate to add new positions due to difficulties in obtaining federal loans [4] Rare Earth Market - Following China's announcement of enhanced export controls on rare earth materials, the stock prices of rare earth mining companies surged, with MP Materials seeing an increase of over 9% and Trilogy Metals experiencing a dramatic rise of over 185% [5] - Other beneficiaries included USA Rare Earth, which saw a weekly increase of over 25%, and Freeport-McMoRan, which rose by 3% [5] - The rare earth sector is being described as undergoing a "Rare Earth Renaissance," highlighting the growing importance and demand for these materials in the West [5]