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三天股价暴涨40%!稀土永磁龙头金力永磁业绩炸裂 专家警示“情绪顶”
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-10-16 00:20
Core Viewpoint - Jinli Permanent Magnet's stock price has experienced a significant increase, with a cumulative rise of 39.94% from October 9 to 13, driven by strong earnings forecasts and market interest in the rare earth permanent magnet sector [1][3][5]. Company Performance - Jinli Permanent Magnet announced a projected net profit growth of 157% to 179% for the first three quarters of 2025, with a non-GAAP net profit increase of 365% to 415% [1][15]. - The company reported a revenue of 35.07 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 4.33%, with a net profit of 3.05 billion yuan, up 154.81% [11][17]. - The strong performance is attributed to the recovery in rare earth prices and effective cost management, with significant contributions from the electric vehicle and wind power sectors [7][12]. Market Dynamics - The recent surge in Jinli Permanent Magnet's stock is linked to renewed market interest in the rare earth industry, particularly following the Ministry of Commerce's announcements regarding export controls on rare earth-related items [5][8]. - The stock reached a historical high of 47.77 yuan per share on October 13, representing an increase of approximately 184% from the beginning of the year [5][9]. Industry Trends - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is experiencing a structural upturn, with expectations of increased demand driven by the electric vehicle and clean energy markets [7][11]. - Analysts suggest that the current market performance of Jinli Permanent Magnet reflects a phase of emotional release rather than a typical bubble, with a potential price range of 40-45 yuan per share seen as the upper limit for emotional premium [8][9]. Future Outlook - Jinli Permanent Magnet is expected to maintain high growth until 2026, but challenges may arise post-2027, particularly regarding the realization of growth in emerging sectors like robotics and low-altitude aircraft [18][19]. - The company faces risks related to inventory and price fluctuations, which could impact future earnings visibility if demand does not meet expectations [18][19].