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扣非净利暴跌97%3年后将增21倍?惠城环保估值超2500倍仍获国盛证券买入评级
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 15:14
Core Viewpoint - Huicheng Environmental Protection's stock price has experienced a significant increase despite a drastic decline in its financial performance, leading to an extraordinarily high price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 2500 times [1][8]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, Huicheng Environmental Protection reported a revenue of 564 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.09%, and a net profit of 5.02 million yuan, down 85.63% [2]. - The company's non-recurring net profit was only 762,000 yuan, a staggering decline of 97.53% year-on-year, marking the second-lowest point since its listing [2][4]. - The main business segments include resource utilization products and waste disposal services, with the resource utilization segment experiencing a revenue drop of 25.21% to 170 million yuan [2]. Business Segments - The hazardous waste disposal service revenue increased by 5.81% to 354 million yuan, primarily driven by services provided to Guangdong Petrochemical [2][3]. - The high-sulfur petroleum coke resource utilization project, which began operations in December 2022, generated 374 million yuan in revenue in the first half of 2024, with net profits of 51.28 million yuan [3]. Cost Structure - Despite a slight decline in revenue, the company's net profit saw a dramatic drop due to significantly increased expenses, including sales, management, and financial costs, which rose by 11.12%, 27.73%, and 17.94% respectively [4][5]. - The increase in costs is attributed to the establishment of multiple subsidiaries and the expansion of business operations across the country [5]. Market Performance - Since its listing, Huicheng Environmental Protection's stock has shown extreme volatility, with a peak increase of nearly 24 times since late 2022, despite inconsistent profit levels [6][7]. - The stock's performance has been driven by its small market capitalization, allowing for significant price movements with relatively small capital inflows [7]. Analyst Ratings - Despite the high valuation and declining performance, Guosheng Securities has maintained a "buy" rating on the stock, projecting revenues of 4.2 billion yuan by 2027, which would represent a 3.65-fold increase from 2024 [1][8]. - The company is currently investing in several projects, including waste plastic resource utilization, which are still under development and may impact future performance [8][9].