Workflow
稳定币驱动增长
icon
Search documents
Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-30 14:37
Core Thesis - Coinbase Global, Inc. is experiencing growth driven by onchain transparency and stablecoin revenue, with a current share price of $320.07 and trailing and forward P/E ratios of 30.84 and 46.51 respectively [1] Financial Performance - Coinbase reported Q2 revenue of $1.497 billion, slightly below the Street's estimate of $1.594 billion, with trading revenue being the largest segment at $710 million, despite a 41% decline in total volumes from Q1 [2] - Retail trading volumes accounted for 20% of activity, generating $645 million at a 1.4% take rate, while institutional trading contributed $65 million [2] Revenue Breakdown - The fastest-growing component was stablecoin revenue, with USDC's market cap increasing by 36.7% to $60 billion, leading to an estimated $396 million in revenue for Coinbase [3] - Blockchain rewards, primarily from ETH staking, added $159 million, while Coinbase's Layer 2, Base, contributed $57.82 million from transaction fees [3] - Other subscription and service revenue totaled $117 million, down from Q1, while interest income rose by 12% to $72 million due to an expanded treasury position [3] Business Model Diversification - The combination of trading, staking, stablecoin, Base, subscriptions, and interest sources illustrates the diversification of Coinbase's revenue model, highlighting a structural advantage in utilizing transparent onchain data for revenue estimation [4] Comparative Analysis - A bullish thesis on Coinbase shares similarities with a previous analysis on Robinhood Markets, emphasizing the importance of onchain transparency and stablecoin-driven growth [5]