Core Insights - The UK construction sector's activity has contracted for the ninth consecutive month, reflecting a cautious outlook among businesses regarding the economic future [1][2] - The September PMI for the UK construction industry rose slightly to 46.2 from 45.5 in August, marking a three-month high but still indicating a contraction below the neutral level of 50 [1] - Employment in the construction sector has seen a decline for the first time in five months, highlighting the challenges faced in the overall economic recovery [1] Industry Performance - The construction sector's performance remains weak across various segments, with residential building activity continuing to struggle and civil engineering experiencing its first contraction since February 2023 [1] - The commercial sub-sector is also facing a downward trend, indicating widespread challenges within the industry [1] Economic Factors - High borrowing costs, a sluggish real estate market, and policy uncertainty are identified as primary factors suppressing the recovery of the UK construction industry [2] - The persistent inflationary pressures have led to a consumer price index increase of 3.8% in August, significantly above the Eurozone level, forcing the Bank of England to maintain a high base interest rate of 4% [2] - The government's recent proposal to stimulate infrastructure investment is seen as a potential positive, but the clarity of budget policies will be crucial in determining the industry's direction [2]

摩尔指出："未来一年的商业活动预期位于自2022年底以来最低水平区间，这表明建筑公司对近期前景 依然谨慎，尚未看到市场信心的明显回升。"2022年特拉斯政府"迷你预算"引发的市场动荡仍让企业记 忆犹新，而当前政策的不确定性进一步加剧了观望心态。 业内人士分析称，持续高企的借贷成本、房地产市场疲软以及政策不确定性，是压制英国建筑业复苏的 主要因素。其中，借贷成本高企源于英国顽固的通胀压力，8月消费者价格指数同比上涨3.8%，远高于 欧元区水平，英国央行被迫将基准利率维持在4%的高位，叠加英国央行激进抛售国债、养老基金持仓 下降等因素，进一步推高了融资成本。房地产市场疲软则直接抑制了房屋建筑需求，形成行业复苏 的"硬约束"。 尽管政府近期提出刺激基础设施投资的计划，但业内普遍认为，预算政策的明确性将成为决定行业走向 的关键变量。此前市场曾因担忧预算案的通胀影响出现英镑下跌、降息预期调整等波动，足见政策信号 对市场信心的重要性。(完) 中新社伦敦10月6日电 (记者欧阳开宇)标准普尔全球6日公布的最新采购经理人指数(PMI)显示，英国建 筑业9月活动连续第九个月萎缩，尽管收缩速度有所放缓，但整体行业仍处低迷状态，反 ...