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电力市场框架逐步完善 储能招投标数据景气 | 投研报告
Core Insights - The report highlights the increasing importance of renewable energy in China's power generation, with renewable capacity exceeding 1.7 billion kilowatts, accounting for 46% of the total installed capacity of 3.7 billion kilowatts as of September 2025 [1][2] - The gap between renewable energy capacity and the annual peak electricity load, which increases by approximately 10 million kilowatts, is expected to widen, indicating a need for coordinated development between renewable energy and the power system over the next decade [1][2] Power Sector - The electricity market framework is gradually improving, with significant solar photovoltaic (PV) installations reported in the first three quarters of 2025, totaling 240 GW, of which distributed PV accounted for 128 GW, surpassing centralized PV installations [3] - The report notes that the majority of new installations are concentrated in East China, South China, and the Northwest, with distributed PV becoming increasingly rationalized due to new policies [3] - The document emphasizes the importance of the 1360 document in addressing renewable energy consumption and development issues [2] Storage Sector - In October 2025, the bidding data for energy storage projects showed a significant year-on-year increase, with new projects totaling 12.7 GW/38.7 GWh, representing an 85% growth [4] - The weighted average price of lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems reached 0.5248 yuan/Wh in October 2025, reflecting a 10% increase from the previous month [5] - The prices of upstream battery materials have also risen significantly, with lithium hexafluorophosphate and vinyl carbonate prices increasing by 13.45% and 77.69% respectively compared to the previous week [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong business models in the power sector, such as Yangtze Power, Guotou Power, and others, as well as those with potential installation growth and dividend yields [3] - In the energy storage sector, it recommends monitoring companies involved in energy storage integration, inverters, and battery production, including CATL and EVE Energy [5]