Core Viewpoint - The green certificate (绿证) system in China has rapidly developed, becoming a crucial mechanism for renewable energy identification and consumption, with significant growth in issuance and trading volumes, but still facing challenges in demand stimulation and market balance [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Green Certificate Issuance and Trading - As of December 2024, China has issued a total of 4.955 billion green certificates, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.45 times, with 3.379 billion being tradable [2][3]. - The total trading volume of green certificates reached 553 million, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.19 times, but only about 10% of the issued certificates were traded [2][3]. Demand Stimulation and Policy Implementation - The National Energy Administration emphasizes the need to accelerate market cultivation and stimulate demand for green certificates, particularly through mandatory consumption policies in high-energy-consuming industries like steel and petrochemicals [2][3]. - The implementation of mandatory green certificate consumption will increase compliance costs for companies in the short term but is expected to drive long-term green transformation [3][4]. Long-term Implications for Industries - The policy is anticipated to push industries towards green transformation, enhancing energy efficiency through technologies like distributed solar and energy storage systems [4]. - Companies failing to meet green consumption standards may face production limitations, creating a dual constraint mechanism that promotes technological upgrades and green supply chain development [4]. Policy Coordination and Market Development - Effective policy coordination is essential for overcoming challenges in green certificate application, with a focus on establishing a comprehensive standard system and improving the management of green certificates [5][6]. - The integration of green electricity consumption information into ESG reporting for listed companies is expected to enhance transparency and align with international disclosure requirements [7][8]. International Recognition and Market Expansion - The unconditional recognition of China's green certificates by the RE100 initiative signifies a major achievement, enhancing the credibility and attractiveness of Chinese green certificates in international markets [9][10]. - This recognition is likely to increase the willingness of both domestic and foreign companies to purchase Chinese green certificates, thereby boosting demand and enhancing the green competitiveness of Chinese exports [10][11].