2026年刚刚步入，新年的钟声还未完全散去，但美国政坛的风暴已经迅猛掀起，仿佛寒冬中刺骨的寒风。特朗普，这位因强硬和不可预测而广为人知的总 统，正面临着他自执政以来最为严峻的内外交困局面。 从党内的激烈分裂，到民众支持率的骤然下滑；从外交政策的孤立无援，到军事冒险的风险；从经济政策面临的潜在崩溃，到司法裁决的沉重威胁，特朗普 的政治局势正如失控的棋局，处处动荡，危机四伏。 1月6日，一场闭门国会会议上，特朗普罕见地松口，表示：如果我们在中期选举中失利，我可能真的会被赶下台。这番话，揭示了他眼下所面临的现实困 境。那么，究竟是什么让特朗普陷入如此深重的政治危机？他的困局是否将彻底改变美国的政治格局？ 紧接着，1月11日，美军再次对叙利亚境内的IS残余势力进行了猛烈空袭，同日，特朗普政府还向古巴发出强硬警告，威胁实施零石油、零资金的全面封 锁。这一系列行动，使得中东和拉美的紧张局势愈加复杂，随时可能引发更大规模的冲突。 然而，特朗普面临的难题远不止外交层面的激烈冲突，国内的政治形势更是复杂。近期国会的投票结果频繁传递出党内裂痕的危险信号。在众议院，特朗普 在《奥巴马医改》补贴延长法案的投票中遭遇重大挫败。法案最终 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the resurgence of Jeffrey Epstein's name in relation to Donald Trump, highlighting a letter from Trump that ambiguously congratulated Epstein on his birthday, raising public scrutiny and doubts about Trump's past associations with Epstein [2][4]. - Trump's health has come under scrutiny following a recent medical examination revealing he weighs 110 kilograms and has elevated cholesterol levels, which contradicts the public's perception of him as a strong leader [4]. - There is a brewing storm regarding Trump's dissatisfaction with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, as he has expressed a desire to dismiss him due to discontent with interest rate policies, which could have significant implications for the U.S. and global economy [5][8]. Group 2 - Historical context indicates that attempts to dismiss a Federal Reserve Chairman have rarely succeeded, with past attempts causing significant market turmoil, suggesting that Trump's indecision may undermine his credibility in financial circles [8]. - Trump's upcoming state visit to the UK is overshadowed by these crises, with protests planned against him, raising questions about his ability to effectively represent the U.S. and negotiate international agreements [8][10]. - The article suggests that if Trump cannot quickly regain public confidence and address these challenges, it could deplete his political capital and operational capacity, while presenting an opportunity for China to advance its agenda [10].