Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article is that while AI has made significant advancements, it will not instantaneously surpass human intelligence, and its development can be categorized into two phases: breakthrough and commoditization of intelligence [1][5][42]. Group 1: AI Development Phases - AI development can be divided into two stages: the first stage focuses on unlocking new capabilities when AI struggles with certain tasks, while the second stage involves the rapid replication of these capabilities once AI can perform them effectively [5][30]. - The cost of achieving specific performance benchmarks in AI has been decreasing over the years, indicating a trend towards commoditization [5][12]. Group 2: Knowledge Accessibility - AI is facilitating the democratization of knowledge, making previously high-barrier fields like programming and biohacking accessible to the general public [15]. - The time required to access public knowledge has been significantly reduced, moving from hours in the pre-internet era to seconds in the AI era [14][12]. Group 3: Verifiability and AI - The "Verifier's Law" states that any task that can be verified will eventually be solved by AI, leading to the emergence of various benchmarking standards [16][41]. - Tasks that are easy to verify but difficult to generate will be prioritized for AI automation, creating new entrepreneurial opportunities for defining measurable goals for AI [30][41]. Group 4: Asymmetry in Task Difficulty - There exists an asymmetry in task difficulty where some tasks are easy to verify but hard to generate, such as Sudoku puzzles versus website development [17][18]. - The development speed of AI varies significantly across different tasks, influenced by factors such as digitization, data availability, and the nature of the task [35][36]. Group 5: Future Implications - The future of AI will see a jagged edge of intelligence, where different tasks will evolve at varying rates, and there will not be a singular moment of "superintelligence" emergence [31][42]. - The flow of information will become frictionless, and the boundaries of AI will be determined by what can be defined and verified [43].