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霍尔木兹海峡通没通,保险公司最清楚
凤凰网财经· 2026-03-11 10:39
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant impact of geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf on maritime insurance, highlighting a crisis where traditional risk coverage has been severely compromised due to escalating war risks [4][5][6]. Group 1: Insurance Market Response - The International Group of P&I Clubs collectively terminated war risk coverage for vessels in Iranian waters and the Persian Gulf, affecting approximately 90% of global ocean-going vessels [4][5]. - The London Joint War Committee updated its exclusion list to classify Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Djibouti, and Oman as high-risk areas, prompting similar adjustments from the China Shipowners Mutual Assurance Association [4][5]. - The withdrawal of coverage has left shipowners in a precarious position, as commercial insurers may either significantly raise premiums or refuse coverage altogether, leading to a state of "naked" operation for many vessels [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Implications - The cost of war risk insurance has surged, with rates for specialized war insurance now reaching 3% of the vessel's value, up from 0.25%, making it prohibitively expensive for many shipping companies [6][7]. - For instance, a super tanker valued at approximately $200 million to $300 million could face insurance premiums exceeding $7.5 million per voyage, necessitating frequent renewals [6][7]. - The current environment has led to a situation where conventional insurance cannot cover the heightened risks, necessitating the use of specialized war insurance, which is significantly more expensive [7]. Group 3: Strategic Recommendations - Experts suggest that shipowners should consider avoiding transit through the Strait of Hormuz or rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, despite the increased time and costs involved, as a means to mitigate risk [6][9]. - The U.S. International Development Finance Corporation has a reinsurance mechanism covering about $20 billion in losses, but its scope is limited and does not provide a comprehensive solution for the broader market [8][9]. - The prevailing advice for commercial shipping companies is to suspend operations in high-risk areas until the geopolitical situation stabilizes, as this remains the most rational business decision [9].