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中国能源转型:以科技之力,向绿向新向未来丨两说
第一财经· 2025-09-11 04:26
Core Viewpoint - The global energy development trend is shifting from traditional fossil fuels to renewable energy, with China emerging as a leader and major innovator in the green energy transition [3][8][19]. Group 1: Renewable Energy Development - By June 2024, China's installed capacity for wind and solar power is expected to exceed 1.2 billion kilowatts, achieving its 2030 target six and a half years ahead of schedule [3]. - As of June 2025, nearly 60% of China's total installed capacity will come from renewable energy sources [3]. - China has established the world's largest and most complete renewable energy industry chain, supplying over 80% of global photovoltaic components and 70% of wind power equipment [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Policy Changes - The introduction of market-driven pricing for renewable energy projects marks a significant shift from the previous policy-driven model, allowing green electricity to find better applications through market mechanisms [6][21]. - The transition from energy consumption control to carbon emission control represents a major policy shift, emphasizing the need for carbon reduction during energy use [21][24]. Group 3: Technological Innovation and Electrification - The essence of global energy transition is a systematic change driven by technological innovation, with re-electrification as a core path for China's green energy transition [9][18]. - Re-electrification includes direct electrification, replacing high-carbon fossil fuels with electricity, and indirect electrification, producing green fuels from renewable electricity [9][18]. Group 4: Future Energy Systems - The operational model of the power system must evolve from "supply follows demand" to "demand follows supply," adapting to the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources [11]. - Future wind and solar power plants will not only produce green electricity but also serve as providers of green fuels [11][18]. Group 5: Strategic Goals and Challenges - China's dual carbon goals of reaching peak carbon emissions by 2030 and achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 present significant challenges, requiring rapid advancements in energy transition [19][23]. - The next five years will focus on establishing a new power system dominated by renewable energy, laying a solid foundation for carbon neutrality [23].