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金石资源(603505):2025H1营收大幅创新高 各项目进展较好 短期承压不改长期成长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 00:33
Core Viewpoint - The company achieved record high revenue in H1 2025, but short-term profit pressure does not alter long-term growth potential, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Revenue and Profit Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.726 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.24% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 126 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 24.74% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 867 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.22%, with net profit of 59 million yuan, down 44.63% year-on-year [1] Factors Affecting Revenue and Profit - Revenue growth was primarily driven by the gradual release of production capacity at Jinebo Fluorochemical, which sold 95,800 tons of anhydrous hydrofluoric acid, an increase of 46,800 tons compared to H1 2024 [1] - Domestic single mine production and costs remained stable compared to H1 2024, but profit decreased by nearly 20 million yuan due to technological upgrades at Xiangzhen Mining [1] - The Mongolian project’s beneficiation plant is still under construction, resulting in a net loss of 17.04 million yuan in H1 2025, including an exchange loss of 6.44 million yuan [1] - Jinshi New Materials and Jiangxi Jinling reported a combined net loss of 27.54 million yuan in H1 2025 due to the lithium industry's cycle not showing significant recovery [1] Profit Forecast Adjustments - Due to the current bottoming out of fluorite prices and the new projects not yet contributing profits, the company adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 298 million, 412 million, and 665 million yuan respectively [2] - The expected EPS for the same period is 0.35, 0.48, and 0.79 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 47.4, 35.0, and 21.2 times [2] - The company remains optimistic about the long-term stability of fluorite prices and the value reassessment from ongoing project advancements, maintaining a "buy" rating [2] Project Progress - The company’s projects are progressing as planned, with the single mine sales at 154,400 tons, a slight decrease of 4,500 tons year-on-year [2] - The Xiangzhen technological upgrade project is expected to be completed by the end of 2025 [3] - The Baotou "selection and processing integration" project produced 390,000 tons of fluorite powder and 103,000 tons of anhydrous hydrofluoric acid in H1 2025, contributing significant profits [3] - The Mongolian project is set to start trial operations by the end of October, processing approximately 200,000 tons of raw ore and producing 40%-45% grade fluorite blocks [3]