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九方智投控股(09636):2025中报点评:流量池加速扩容,自营顺势加仓
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-05 10:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in total revenue of 2.1 billion, up 133.8% year-on-year, and achieved a net profit of 865 million, compared to a loss of 174 million in the same period last year [6][10] - The company's return on equity (ROE) was 36.5%, a substantial improvement from -15.9% in the previous year [6] - The MCN traffic pool is expanding rapidly, with a significant increase in paid user numbers and a notable improvement in refund rates [10] - Cost control has been effective, leading to a marked improvement in profitability, with a net profit margin rising to 41.2% from -19.4% year-on-year [10] - The company is recognized as a leading high-end investment education service provider in China, leveraging multimedia for customer acquisition, establishing strong barriers in traffic pool construction and customer education [10] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 2.1 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 133.8% [6] - The net profit for the same period was 865 million, a turnaround from a loss of 174 million in the previous year [6] - The diluted ROE was reported at 36.5%, compared to -15.9% in the prior year [6] Market Performance - The company’s order revenue increased significantly, with a 83.3% year-on-year growth, and a return on investment (ROI) of 3.67, up 56.0% [10] - The average daily transaction volume in the market surged to 19.4 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 185.6%, indicating a strong market recovery [10] User Growth and Cost Management - The number of paid users increased by 152.7% to 102,000, with a refund rate improvement of 5.9 percentage points [10] - The company effectively managed costs, with sales, research, and management expenses reported at 660 million, 150 million, and 240 million respectively, showing a mixed trend in year-on-year changes [10] Investment and Asset Management - The company’s trading financial assets reached 1.33 billion, a 100.6% increase from the beginning of the year, with significant growth in fund and stock holdings [10] - The company achieved an investment income of 64 million, with an estimated annualized investment return rate of 12.7% [10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in net profit, with projections of 1.52 billion and 1.94 billion for 2025 and 2026 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 20.0 and 15.7 [11]