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统筹供需的实践成效与理论创新
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-14 01:02
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of balancing total supply and total demand in China's macroeconomic governance to achieve high-quality development and a stable economic cycle [1][3][6]. Summary by Sections Understanding Total Supply and Demand - Total supply refers to the total amount of final products and services that a country or region can provide within a certain period, reflecting optimal production capacity under specific conditions [2]. - Total demand encompasses the overall demand for products and services in society, including domestic and foreign demand, influenced by factors such as consumer spending, investment, net exports, government spending, and monetary and fiscal policies [2]. Historical Context and Policy Evolution - Historically, China has prioritized the balance between total supply and total demand, as seen in various economic plans since the "Eighth Five-Year Plan" [3]. - The focus has shifted towards achieving both short-term stability and long-term growth, with an increasing emphasis on the coordination of supply and demand in response to changing economic conditions [3]. Supply-Side Structural Reform - Supply-side structural reform is identified as a key strategy to optimize total supply and better adapt to changes in total demand, initiated by President Xi Jinping in 2015 [4]. - The goal is to enhance the quality of the supply system, reduce ineffective supply, and increase effective and high-end supply to improve adaptability and flexibility [4]. Demand-Side Management - Demand-side management has been emphasized as a complementary approach to supply-side reforms, particularly in light of insufficient domestic demand and weak consumption [5]. - The strategy includes expanding domestic demand as a critical focus for constructing a new development pattern [5]. Coordinated Efforts for Dynamic Balance - The article highlights the need for coordinated efforts between supply-side and demand-side management to achieve a dynamic balance, with a focus on enhancing the adaptability and balance of supply and demand [6][14]. - It stresses the importance of using various macroeconomic policies, including stability, growth, and structural policies, to achieve this balance [16]. Breakthroughs in Macroeconomic Theory - The article discusses the limitations of Western macroeconomic theories, which primarily focus on demand management, and contrasts this with China's approach of integrating supply and demand considerations [7][10]. - It argues that the new understanding of balancing total supply and total demand provides a theoretical foundation for improving macroeconomic governance and addressing challenges in the digital economy [11][12]. Future Directions - The article calls for a systematic approach to ensure that supply and demand are dynamically balanced at a higher level, emphasizing the need for continuous supply-side structural reforms and the expansion of domestic demand [14][15]. - It also highlights the importance of improving the quality of investments and enhancing the overall investment structure to support sustainable economic growth [15].
陈彦斌:统筹供需的实践成效与理论创新
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-14 00:34
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of balancing total supply and total demand in China's macroeconomic governance to achieve high-quality development and a stable economic cycle [1][3][10]. Summary by Sections Understanding Total Supply and Demand - Total supply refers to the total amount of final products and services that a country or region can provide within a certain period, reflecting optimal production capacity under specific conditions [2]. - Total demand encompasses the overall demand for products and services in society, including domestic and foreign demand, influenced by factors such as consumer spending, investment, net exports, government spending, and monetary and fiscal policies [2]. Historical Context and Policy Evolution - Historically, China has prioritized the balance between total supply and total demand, as seen in various economic plans since the "Eighth Five-Year Plan" [3]. - The focus has shifted towards a more integrated approach to macroeconomic governance, recognizing the need for both short-term stability and long-term growth [3]. Supply-Side Structural Reform - Supply-side structural reform is identified as a key strategy to optimize total supply and better adapt to changes in total demand, initiated by President Xi Jinping in 2015 [4]. - The goal is to enhance the quality of the supply system, reduce ineffective supply, and increase effective and high-end supply to improve adaptability and flexibility [4]. Demand-Side Management - Demand-side management has been emphasized as a complementary strategy to supply-side reforms, particularly in light of insufficient domestic demand and weak consumption [5]. - The strategy aims to expand effective demand and create a complete internal demand system, which is crucial for constructing a new development pattern [5]. Coordinated Efforts for Dynamic Balance - The article discusses the need for coordinated efforts from various departments to achieve a dynamic balance between total supply and total demand, enhancing adaptability and stability [6]. - This includes expanding effective investment and improving supply quality to stimulate new demand [6]. Breakthroughs in Western Macroeconomic Theory - The article critiques Western macroeconomic theories for focusing primarily on demand management and neglecting supply-side factors, particularly in the context of the digital economy [7][9]. - It argues that China's approach to balancing total supply and total demand offers a more comprehensive framework for macroeconomic governance [10][11]. Characteristics of the New Understanding - The new understanding emphasizes the importance of both internal and external demand, advocating for a balanced approach to expanding domestic demand while also stabilizing and expanding external demand [12]. - It highlights the need to maintain total supply at a reasonable level while optimizing supply structure to prevent macroeconomic fluctuations [13]. Achieving Higher-Level Dynamic Balance - The article stresses the importance of achieving a higher-level dynamic balance where demand drives supply and supply creates demand [14]. - It calls for continuous supply-side structural reforms and a focus on high-quality supply to lead demand and stimulate economic growth [14]. Policy Coordination - Effective macroeconomic governance requires the coordination of stabilization, growth, and structural policies to enhance consistency in macroeconomic policy direction [17]. - The article advocates for a comprehensive approach that integrates various policy tools to achieve a balanced economic environment [17].