贸易分化
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联合国贸发会议:全球外国直接投资连续第二年下降
news flash· 2025-06-19 11:21
Core Insights - The UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) released the "World Investment Report 2025," indicating a decline of 11% in global foreign direct investment (FDI) for 2024, marking the second consecutive year of decline [1] - Developed economies experienced a sharp drop in direct investment, with Europe seeing a significant decrease of 58% [1] - Asia remains the most attractive destination for foreign investment, projected to attract $605 billion in FDI in 2024, with developing economies in Asia leading as the top investment destinations [1] - The investment landscape for 2024 is influenced by geopolitical tensions, trade fragmentation, and increasing competition in industrial policies [1] - Rising financial risks and uncertainties are reshaping the global investment landscape and undermining the confidence of long-term investors [1]
欧洲央行官员:美关税或引发欧元区反通胀效应 美国主导或转变为多极化体系
news flash· 2025-04-29 07:57
Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) official highlighted that U.S. trade measures could lead to a short-term decline in inflation within the Eurozone due to their impact on global economic expansion [1] Group 1: Impact on Eurozone Inflation - The trade measures from the U.S. may result in a decrease in the Eurozone inflation rate in the medium term, as actual interest rates in the Eurozone have risen and the euro has appreciated following the announcement of tariffs [1] - The unexpected strengthening of the euro since the announcement of tariffs contrasts with initial expectations of depreciation, which was anticipated to increase import costs and potentially raise inflation due to EU countermeasures [1] Group 2: Global Economic Implications - The trade measures could cause a shift of resources from high productivity sectors to low productivity sectors, leading to inefficiencies reminiscent of the 20th century, which may contribute to a sustained decline in global growth rates [1] - There is a possibility that trade diversification may facilitate a transition from a U.S.-dominated global system to a more multipolar system characterized by competition among various currencies for reserve status [1]