贸易分化

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联合国贸发会议:全球外国直接投资连续第二年下降
news flash· 2025-06-19 11:21
Core Insights - The UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) released the "World Investment Report 2025," indicating a decline of 11% in global foreign direct investment (FDI) for 2024, marking the second consecutive year of decline [1] - Developed economies experienced a sharp drop in direct investment, with Europe seeing a significant decrease of 58% [1] - Asia remains the most attractive destination for foreign investment, projected to attract $605 billion in FDI in 2024, with developing economies in Asia leading as the top investment destinations [1] - The investment landscape for 2024 is influenced by geopolitical tensions, trade fragmentation, and increasing competition in industrial policies [1] - Rising financial risks and uncertainties are reshaping the global investment landscape and undermining the confidence of long-term investors [1]
欧洲央行官员:美关税或引发欧元区反通胀效应 美国主导或转变为多极化体系
news flash· 2025-04-29 07:57
金十数据4月29日讯,欧洲央行执委奇波洛内表示,美国的贸易措施可能会在短期内拖累欧元区通胀, 因为它们会拖累全球的经济扩张。奇波洛内周二说:"中短期的影响可能会导致欧元区通胀率下降,因 为在美国宣布征收关税后,欧元区的实际利率已经上升,欧元已经升值。""贸易措施可能通过将资源从 高生产率部门转移到低生产率部门,造成与20世纪相同的低效率,这种收缩效应可能导致全球增长率持 续走低。"自特朗普宣布关税以来,欧元走强可能是决策者们最大的意外。他们原本预计欧元会贬值, 从而提高进口成本,叠加欧盟反制措施可能推升通胀。奇波洛内说:"欧元区受益于避险资金流入,欧 元升值的同时名义债券收益率下降。"他还提出了一种可能性,即贸易分化可能导致"从美国主导的全球 体系逐步过渡到更加多极化的体系,即多种货币竞争储备地位"。 欧洲央行官员:美关税或引发欧元区反通胀效应 美国主导或转变为多极化体系 ...