地缘政治紧张局势

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国际金价跳水跌破4000美元整数关口,外媒纷纷表态
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-10-10 00:53
【环球网财经综合报道】北京时间10月10日凌晨,国际贵金属期货普遍收跌,COMEX黄金期货跌1.95%报3991.10美 元/盎司,收盘跌破4000美元整数关口;COMEX白银期货跌2.73%报47.66美元/盎司。对此,联合新闻网撰文评论表 示:"受地缘政治和经济不确定性影响,投资人持续涌向避险资产,银价今天触及30多年来新高,金价则自创纪录的 涨势中回落。" 市场方面,全球最大实物黄金支持的SPDR黄金ETF信托今年已上涨近50%。与此同时,小型矿业ETF,如MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs,今年涨幅超过740%,成为VettaFi追踪的年内表现最佳的ETF。 另据路透社的报道,独立金属交易员Tai Wong表示:"黄金和白银可能需要进一步巩固。但推动这次上涨的主要因素 ——储备多元化和全球主权债务的持续增长——仍然是完全有效的,保持看涨前景。" 福克斯商业频道撰文认为,今年黄金的上涨主要受到地缘政治紧张局势、央行政策的推动,以及交易所交易基金 (ETF)流入增加、利率下调预期以及关税和贸易政策变化带来的经济不确定性等因素的支撑。 CBSNEWS则提出, ...
Gold price hits $4,014 for the first time ever, up 50% year-to-date: Is the gold rate prediction outlook pointing to $4,900 by 2026?
The Economic Times· 2025-10-08 10:43
$4,000 per ounce for the first time in history. Spot gold is trading near $4,014, marking a stunning 50% gain year-to-date. Investors are rushing to gold as fears over inflation and global instability rise. The precious metal is drawing attention worldwide. Traders see gold as a safe-haven amid economic uncertainty. Rising prices have triggered headlines across markets, signaling one of the strongest rallies in years. Inflation concerns continue to push investors toward stable assets. With central banks buy ...
Gold price today, Thursday, October 9: Gold opens at $4,061.80 as geopolitical tensions ease
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-06 11:57
Gold (GC=F) futures opened at $4,061.80 per ounce on Thursday, up 0.5% from Wednesday’s close of $4,043.30. The price of gold has gained 54.3% so far this year. Conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine contributed to gold’s historic rise in 2025. The Ukraine war continues, but Israel and Hamas have agreed to a ceasefire and hostage release, according to President Trump. The agreement is a positive milestone for the Gaza conflict, but does not guarantee an end to the two-year-old war. Other factors suppor ...
ACCA:67%企业主管料其贸易额未来三到五年或“大幅”增长
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 06:01
公会称,就此次调查访问了来自50多个国家的631位受访者,其中行政总裁(CEO)和首席财务总监(CFO) 占比近40%,而最高管理层,包括:行政总裁、首席财务总监、其他C级主管和董事会成员/非执行董事 的占比高达56%。大部分调查问题均收到超过500份回复,当中行政总裁和首席财务总监的回复占总回 复约45%,而最高管理层的回复占总回复近三分之二。回复数量最多来自英国和中国的受访者,分别约 240份和60份回复。 企业成本方面,约35%的受访者料未来数年全球贸易的变化,其企业成本或增逾10%,46%受访者预计 将增加高达10%,11%受访者预计将维持不变,只有6%的受访者预计会下降。公会指,贸易体系碎片化 可能会推高价格风险。同时,由于美国贸易政策的重大改变,调查显示60%的企业近年已经迁移部分生 产、投资或供应商的所在地,61%的企业表示可能会在未来数年内迁移。 ACCA(特许公认会计师公会)发表最新报告指,尽管85%受访者担心关税对其企业影响,企业主管对未 来看法更加乐观,分别有38%、29%企业主管预计其公司全球贸易额将"大幅"成长或"略有"成长。公会 形容,尽管美国总统特朗普的关税政策可能继续对全球贸易 ...
欧洲复兴开发银行大幅下调2025年斯洛文尼亚GDP增长预测
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-30 02:58
欧洲复兴开发银行指出,斯洛文尼亚今年上半年经济增长显著放缓,同比仅增长0.1%,而去年同期为 1.7%。这主要是由于投资和工业生产下降,同时对外贸易的贡献也大幅下降。不过,在第一季度出现 负增长之后,除了受到实际工资增长和低失业率刺激的家庭消费(尽管目前通胀率较高)之外,第二季 度的投资活动也得到增强。 受美国引发的全球贸易紧张局势负面影响及地缘政治紧张局势持续发酵(尤其是俄乌冲突)的拖累,中 东欧国家(包括斯洛文尼亚)实际发展略低于预期。欧洲复兴开发银行预测,该地区今年平均增长率为 2.4%,明年为2.7%。克罗地亚和波兰增长率最高—今年两国增速均有望突破3%,明年波兰将保持此增 长态势,克罗地亚增速预计将放缓至3%以下。 斯通社9月25日伦敦消息,欧洲复兴开发银行(EBRD)连续第三次下调斯洛文尼亚2025年GDP增长预 测,从1.9%大幅下调至0.7%。2026年增长预测下调至2.0%。 欧洲复兴开发银行认为,国际金融机构投资增长是推动斯洛文尼亚经济在2026年实现预期复苏的主要动 力,同时指出,作为高度开放型经济体,斯洛文尼亚也间接受到美国对欧盟及瑞士商品加征进口关税的 影响。尽管斯洛文尼亚有机会加强 ...
创纪录涨势后,美国黄金储备价值触及1万亿美元
美股IPO· 2025-09-29 23:44
随着金价突破历史新高,美国财政部2.615亿盎司的黄金储备价值已超1万亿美元,但其官方账面价值 仍固定在1973年的每盎司42.22美元(约110亿美元)。若按市价重估,将为美国财政部释放约9900 亿美元资金。在政府面临债务上限约束的背景下,这笔资金无疑颇具诱惑力。 随着金价飙升并刷新历史新高,美国财政部持有的黄金储备市场价值已首次突破1万亿美元大关。 周一,金价一度突破每盎司3824.5美元,今年累计涨幅高达45%,推动了美国这笔全球最大黄金储备 的价值攀升。涨势背后,是投资者在贸易战、地缘政治紧张局势以及对美国潜在政府融资危机的日益 担忧中寻求安全庇护。此外,黄金交易所交易基金(ETF)的持续资金流入和美联储重启降息周期也 为金价上涨提供了强劲动力。 不过, 美国政府资产负债表上的黄金官方价值仍固定在110亿美元出头,这一估值基于国会1973年设 定的每盎司42.22美元价格。 两者之间的巨大差距意味着美国黄金储备的市场价值是账面价值的 90多 倍。 若按当前市价重估黄金储备, 将为美国财政部释放约9900亿美元资金 。今年早些时候,美国财政部 长贝森特的一句即兴评论曾引发市场猜测,认为美国政府可能将其 ...
MP Materials : Still Rare?
Forbes· 2025-09-29 09:25
Company Overview - MP Materials is an American rare-earth materials firm based in Las Vegas, Nevada, and has seen an increase of nearly 8% in stock price recently due to plans by the Trump Administration to acquire a 10% equity stake in Lithium Americas [2] - The company operates the Mountain Pass mine, the only operational rare earth mine and processing facility in the United States, focusing on producing Neodymium-Praseodymium (NdPr) essential for high-strength permanent magnets used in various applications [3] Stock Performance - The stock has increased approximately 370% year-to-date, trading at over 45 times forward revenue, which is notably high for a mining company [3][7] - The U.S. Department of Defense became MP's largest stakeholder after a $400 million stock acquisition in July, aimed at enhancing the magnets business and securing the domestic supply chain [5] Market Dynamics - Geopolitical tensions, particularly U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods, have significantly impacted the rare earth materials market, with China's rare earth magnet exports dropping 74% year-over-year and shipments to the U.S. falling by 93% [4] - The need for a secure domestic supply chain positions MP as a crucial player in reducing U.S. dependence on China, which currently supplies 90% of the world's most powerful rare-earth magnets [4] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, MP exceeded expectations with NdPr oxide production rising 119% year-over-year, sales volumes tripling to 443 metric tons, and revenue increasing 84% to $57.4 million [6] - The company aims to scale production of permanent magnets to 10,000 metric tons annually by 2028, with sales for this segment reaching $20 million [7] Future Outlook - Management anticipates a further sequential increase in NdPr oxide production of 10% to 20% in Q3 2025, indicating strong growth potential [6] - The company has nearly $2 billion in cash reserves, providing a solid financial foundation for future expansion [7]
黄金站上3800美元!贵金属全线飙升 白银大涨超1美元
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-29 08:29
摘要9月29日亚洲早盘期间,黄金价格稳步小幅攀升,升至约3750美元一线。此次金价上涨的主要驱动 因素包括市场广泛预计美联储在今年剩余时间内会继续采取降息政策,以及不断升级的地缘政治紧张局 势。同期,现货白银在刷新14年高点后,因美元强势反弹而承压... 9月29日亚洲早盘期间,现货黄金再攀新高,于午间12:30左右历史性突破3800美元/盎司,涨至3805美 元/盎司,本月累涨约350美元,日内涨超1%。与此同时,现货白银日内大涨逾1.00美元,报47.1美元/盎 司,涨幅2.2%;铂金和钯金同样强势上扬,涨势受到市场持续供应紧张及贵金属ETF资金流入的支撑。 交易员正在权衡美国政府可能停摆的风险——此举或导致本周关键就业数据延迟发布,进而影响美联储 的货币政策路径。 【要闻速递】 数据显示通胀温和,强化市场对美联储年内降息的押注,推动黄金和白银价格上涨。 此外,美国政府 可能因拨款法案未通过而部分关闭的风险也提振了避险需求。 美元指数在98.00附近承压走弱,降低了和黄金白银的美元计价成本,使其对海外买家更具吸引力。美 元走软与美联储降息预期共同支撑了黄金和白银的上涨势头。 【技术分析】 现货黄金(伦敦金 ...
特朗普新关税威胁,亚洲股市集体下挫,韩国首尔综指大跌3%,金银回调
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-09-26 05:57
Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a new round of tariffs by President Trump has stirred global markets, leading to increased risk aversion among investors and significant declines in Asian stock indices [1][4]. Group 1: Tariff Details - Starting October 1, the U.S. will impose a 50% tariff on kitchen cabinets, bathroom sinks, and related building materials, a 30% tariff on imported furniture, and a 100% tariff on patented and branded pharmaceuticals [1]. - Additionally, a 25% tariff will be applied to all imported heavy trucks [1]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Major Asian stock indices fell sharply, with Japan's Nikkei 225 down approximately 0.6% to 45,478 points, and South Korea's Kospi dropping 2.5% to 3,384.58 points, marking its third consecutive day of decline [2][4]. - Japanese pharmaceutical stocks experienced significant declines, with Sumitomo Pharma down 5.2% and Chugai Pharmaceutical down 3.9% [2][6]. Group 3: U.S. Market Context - U.S. stock markets have seen three consecutive days of decline, primarily due to stronger-than-expected economic data, which has raised doubts about the Federal Reserve's future rate cuts [5][7]. - The recent economic performance has led to skepticism regarding the continuation of rate cuts, which have been a significant driver of U.S. stock market gains this year [5]. Group 4: Oil Market Dynamics - Despite the overall market downturn, oil prices have risen, with Brent crude futures reaching $69.67 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate crude up 0.3% to $64.59 per barrel [10][13]. - The increase in oil prices is attributed to geopolitical tensions and an unexpected decline in U.S. crude oil inventories, pushing benchmark prices to their highest levels since August 1 [13].
国际金银价飙至历史新高,美政府停摆危机“火上浇油”,国庆假期投资策略曝光|大宗风云
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 08:06
本报(chinatimes.net.cn)记者叶青 北京报道 近期国际贵金属市场呈现冲高回落的震荡格局,在美联储政策余波与市场情绪博弈中完成短期动能切 换,9月23日COMEX黄金价格一度攀升至3824.6美元/盎司的历史新高后,同期COMEX白银价格也升至 44.77美元/盎司。9月24日COMEX黄金价格回落至3797.1美元/盎司,白银价格也回落至44.40美元/盎 司,这反映短期多空分歧加剧。 "近期国际银价创出历史新高,这与贵金属属性相关,在美联储降息周期和商品反弹背景下,白银出现 大幅补涨。随着银价上涨,资金自然而然会流入白银市场,进一步推高银价。尽管鲍威尔的讲话抑制金 价再度创新高,但当前金银比长期处于较高位置,反映白银低估,后期上涨的概率较大。"创元期货分 析师何燚在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示。 鲍威尔持中性偏鸽态度 "9月23日国际金价和银价再度创出历史新高,其中长期驱动因素仍是市场对美联储降息预期的不断升温 所带来的流动性交易,以及地缘政治紧张局势持续所带来的避险性交易。与此同时,美国政府停摆危机 也是近两天贵金属价格上涨的推动因素之一。"光大期货分析师赵复初在接受《华夏时报》记者采访 ...