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特朗普今将揭晓美联储主席人选 沃什以90%概率领跑
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 06:50
Group 1 - The announcement of the new Federal Reserve Chair nominee by President Trump is expected to provide critical signals for future monetary policy direction [1] - The final candidates for the position are Kevin Warsh and Rick Rieder, with Warsh's nomination probability reaching 90% according to Polymarket [2] - Warsh has a dual background in both central banking and Wall Street, having served as a Federal Reserve Governor from 2006 to 2011 and maintaining influence in policy research and investment [2] Group 2 - Despite Warsh's hawkish reputation, which emphasizes inflation control, his professional credibility and political acceptability may make him a compromise choice [3] - There are potential obstacles to Warsh's confirmation, as Republican Senator Thom Tillis has stated he will block any Fed nominee until an investigation into the Fed's headquarters renovation is completed [3] - The new Chair's policy stance will directly impact U.S. Treasury yields, the dollar's performance, and the pricing of global risk assets, given the current interest rates and inflation levels [3]