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交银国际:下调宝胜国际(03813)目标价至0.74港元 维持“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-08-13 07:07
Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International downgrades the target price of Baoshan International (03813) to HKD 0.74 while maintaining a "Buy" rating, indicating that the current stock price reflects performance pressures and offers sufficient downside protection with an expected dividend yield exceeding 8% [1] Company Summary - Baoshan International's revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 showed a decline, with revenue at RMB 9.16 billion and net profit at RMB 190 million, representing year-on-year decreases of 8.3% and 44.1% respectively, primarily due to reduced foot traffic in physical stores [1] - The company is expected to face continued revenue pressure, with a projected decline of 4.5% year-on-year for the second half of 2025, leading to a revenue forecast adjustment of 7%-8% for 2025-2027, bringing the expected revenue to RMB 17.3-18.9 billion [1] - The gross margin decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 33.5%, and the operating profit margin fell by 1.7 percentage points to 3.1% due to discount pressures [1] - Despite short-term performance challenges, there are positive signals emerging in Q2, including a slight improvement in discount levels and inventory management, which may support future recovery [1] Industry Summary - The industry is expected to remain competitive in the short term, with ongoing pressure on discounts likely to continue into the second half of the year [1] - The negative operating leverage effect has led to a downward revision of net profit forecasts for the next three years by 6%-24%, estimating net profits to be between RMB 410 million and RMB 600 million [1]