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金石资源(603505):业绩短期承压,重点项目稳步推进
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-25 09:22
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.73 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 54.2%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 24.7% year-on-year to 130 million yuan [2][6] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 870 million yuan, which is a 29.2% increase year-on-year and a 0.9% increase quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same quarter was 60 million yuan, down 44.6% year-on-year and 11.3% quarter-on-quarter [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for H1 2025 was 1.73 billion yuan, with a net profit of 130 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline in profitability despite revenue growth [2][6] - The Q2 results showed a revenue of 870 million yuan and a net profit of 60 million yuan, indicating a downward trend in profitability [2][6] Project Developments - The "selection and chemical integration" project has shown significant profitability growth, with the AHF gross margin increasing to 11.57% from 0.39% year-on-year. The project has helped the company realize market value from low-grade fluorite powder [11] - The company is facing challenges with its single mine operations, where production and costs have remained stable compared to the previous year, leading to a profit decrease of nearly 20 million yuan in H1 2025 [11] - The Mongolian project is still under construction, with limited sales and additional financial burdens due to currency depreciation and increased management costs, resulting in a net loss of 17.04 million yuan for H1 2025 [11] - The lithium project is under pressure, with losses reported from both Jinshi New Materials and Jiangxi Jinling due to the ongoing downturn in the lithium industry [11] Market Trends - The price of fluorite has seen a decline in Q2 2025, with a current market price of 3,207 yuan per ton, but there are signs of a potential rebound as demand may increase with seasonal changes [11] - The company is optimistic about future profitability improvements as key projects are progressing steadily, including the completion of technical upgrades and the Mongolian project nearing operational readiness [11] Profit Forecast - The company expects net profits to reach 340 million yuan, 530 million yuan, and 700 million yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on these projections [11]