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供应偏紧 钨价中枢有望上移
Group 1 - The article discusses the dual approach of export controls and tightened mining quotas in China's tungsten industry, aiming to guide the sector towards high-end and green circular development [2][3] - The export control policy serves three purposes: resource security, industrial upgrading, and geopolitical strategy, enhancing China's dominance in critical mineral sectors [3] - In 2024, China's tungsten ore production is projected to be 67,000 tons, accounting for 82.7% of global production, highlighting China's significant role in the tungsten market [3] Group 2 - The first batch of tungsten mining quota for 2025 is set at 58,000 tons, a decrease of 6.45% compared to the previous year, with major production areas like Jiangxi seeing a reduction of over 10% [4] - As of April 29, the average price of tungsten powder reached 321,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a significant increase, indicating a strong market response to supply constraints [4][5] - The demand for tungsten is expected to rise due to manufacturing recovery, with high-end applications in aerospace, industrial robotics, and semiconductors driving this demand [5] Group 3 - Companies are adapting to policy changes by focusing on reducing uncertainties and enhancing their operational efficiency, with some firms reporting minimal impact from the export controls [6] - The export control measures are not entirely prohibitive but involve extended approval processes, affecting the operational timelines of companies [6] - The trend towards resource recovery and recycling is gaining traction, as companies seek to mitigate rising costs and enhance their competitive edge in a tightening market [6][7]