Workflow
铁塔折旧
icon
Search documents
中国铁塔(00788.HK):存量铁塔折旧到期支撑利润 分红派息持续提升
Ge Long Hui· 2026-03-19 23:12
Core Viewpoint - The company reported 2025 revenue of 100.4 billion yuan, in line with market expectations, while net profit slightly missed expectations due to higher-than-expected expenses [1] Revenue and Profit Performance - Revenue for 2025 was 100.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.7% (3.1% on a comparable basis), meeting market expectations [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 8.4% to 11.63 billion yuan, slightly below market expectations due to higher expenses [1] - In Q4 2025, revenue rose by 3.0% to 26.09 billion yuan, and net profit increased by 13.4% to 2.922 billion yuan [1] Business Segment Performance - Revenue growth in various segments for 2025: tower business -0.3%, indoor distribution +9.5%, smart connection +14.2%, energy business +7.5% (energy business +16.5% on a comparable basis) [1] - Cost increases were noted in maintenance (1.6%), labor (5.3%), site operation and support (11.3%), and other operating expenses (23.5%) [1] Depreciation and Amortization - Depreciation and amortization expenses decreased by 3.5% year-on-year, reducing expenses by 1.775 billion yuan [1] - Adjustments to the depreciation period for indoor distribution assets from 7 years to 10 years will reduce depreciation expenses by 890 million yuan [1] - The expiration of depreciation for existing tower assets by the end of October 2025 will further reduce expenses by 1.71 billion yuan, with an estimated contribution of over 8 billion yuan in pre-tax depreciation reduction in 2026 [1] Capital Expenditure and Cash Flow - Capital expenditure for 2025 was 29.486 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.7% mainly due to reduced site construction capex [2] - Operating cash flow was 56.116 billion yuan, an increase of 13.4% year-on-year [2] - Free cash flow reached 26.630 billion yuan, up 51.9% year-on-year [2] - The company maintained a dividend payout ratio of 77%, an increase of 1 percentage point year-on-year, with plans to increase the dividend base to 100% of net profit by 2028 [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2026 was revised down by 12.2% to 15.9 billion yuan due to higher operational expenditures [2] - A new net profit forecast of 17 billion yuan for 2027 was introduced [2] - The current stock price corresponds to 3.5x and 3.3x EV/EBITDA for 2026 and 2027, respectively, with a target price of 14 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 25.1% [2]