长期盈利贡献
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大行评级|美银:首予东方电气“买入”评级及目标价33港元,看好长期增长潜力
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-22 02:41
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Dongfang Electric with a target price of HKD 33, corresponding to a projected P/E ratio of 26 times for 2026 [1] Group 1: Revenue Drivers - Strong revenue recognition is expected from thermal and nuclear power equipment orders secured between 2021 and 2025 [1] - The Yarlung Tsangpo project, a dam project with capital expenditure of CNY 1.2 trillion, is anticipated to contribute to long-term profitability [1] - There is potential for expansion in gas turbine exports [1] - The power station service business, including operation and maintenance as well as flexibility upgrades, is expected to achieve continuous growth [1] Group 2: Profitability Forecast - Bank of America forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13% for Dongfang Electric's net profit from 2025 to 2027, benefiting from an increase in China's power capital expenditure cycle [1] - The company holds approximately 40% market share in the nuclear and hydropower equipment market and over 30% in the thermal power equipment market, making it a key beneficiary of large-scale thermal and nuclear investments in China from 2021 to 2025 [1] - The recognition of equipment orders will drive steady growth in net profit as average selling prices recover [1]