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青壮年人口下降
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一线城市降门槛,大城市青年人变“贵”了
21世纪经济报道· 2025-03-23 14:57
Core Viewpoint - Major cities in China are actively implementing talent attraction policies to address the declining youth population, which is becoming increasingly valuable in the labor market [1][2]. Group 1: Talent Attraction Policies - Cities like Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Beijing are revising policies to lower the barriers for young people to settle in these areas, such as extending free accommodation for job seekers [1]. - The urgency of these policies stems from a significant decline in the youth population, particularly those aged 16-59, which has decreased by 5.78 million over the past decade [1][2]. Group 2: Population Structure and Economic Impact - The decline in the youth population is particularly concerning for major cities, as this demographic is crucial for economic growth and domestic demand [2]. - For instance, Beijing's population aged 15-59 dropped from 1,621.7 thousand in 2013 to 1,428.5 thousand in 2023, a decline of over 10% [2]. Group 3: Human Capital Accumulation - To counteract the decline in youth population, cities need to enhance the skill levels of the workforce and attract more young people [3]. - The government aims to improve the quality of the talent pool, focusing on supporting and utilizing young technological talents [3]. Group 4: Urban Competitiveness - Factors influencing young people's choice of city include job opportunities, income levels, and living costs, such as housing and transportation [4]. - Cities must provide a sense of stability and comfort to attract and retain young talent [4]. Group 5: Housing and Public Services - The rental housing market significantly affects the willingness of young migrants to settle in a city, with public rental housing being a key factor [5]. - Cities need to develop comprehensive public service systems, including housing, healthcare, and education, to enhance their attractiveness [5]. Group 6: Case Study - Nanchang - Nanchang has successfully attracted young people by implementing strategic infrastructure projects and improving its educational facilities [6]. - The city's population aged 16-59 increased from 445.31 thousand in 2022 to 454.95 thousand in 2024, indicating a positive trend in population structure [6]. Group 7: Future Population Trends - The population structure is expected to continue changing, with a projected decrease of approximately 67 million in the youth population over the next decade [6]. - This ongoing demographic shift will challenge cities to enhance their internal capabilities to attract and retain talent [6]. Group 8: Conclusion - The competition among cities to attract talent has entered a new phase, with significant investments being made to improve urban appeal [7].