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半年盘点|上半年增收不增利但价格内卷趋缓,风电龙头加速出海寻增量
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 11:08
Core Viewpoint - The long-term growth logic of the wind power industry remains unchanged, with significant increases in installed capacity and market demand, despite challenges in profitability due to price competition [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Growth and Performance - In the first half of the year, the cumulative installed capacity of wind power in China exceeded 570 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of nearly 23%, with new grid-connected capacity reaching 51.4 GW, up nearly 99% year-on-year [1]. - Major wind turbine companies reported revenue growth, with increases ranging from 26% to 63%. Goldwind Technology led with a revenue of 28.537 billion yuan and a year-on-year growth of 62.75% [1]. - Despite revenue growth, most leading companies, except Goldwind Technology, reported declines in net profit, with Mingyang Smart Energy's net profit down 7.68% to 610 million yuan, and Sany Renewable Energy's net profit down 51.54% to 210 million yuan [1][2]. Group 2: Price Competition and Market Dynamics - Intense price competition has led to a significant drop in bidding prices for onshore wind turbines, from 3,000-4,000 yuan per kilowatt in 2021 to below 1,400 yuan per kilowatt in 2024, a decline of over 50% [2]. - The industry is beginning to stabilize, with major companies signing a self-discipline agreement to raise bidding prices starting in the fourth quarter [2][3]. - The average bidding price for onshore wind turbine units has increased by over 9% compared to the full year of 2024, reaching 1,552 yuan per kilowatt [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Strategic Initiatives - The wind power industry is expected to see a recovery in profit margins, with companies like Sany Renewable Energy anticipating a significant increase in gross profit margins next year due to higher bidding prices and cost reduction strategies [3]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards non-lowest price bidding mechanisms, which is expected to stabilize wind turbine prices [3]. - Leading companies are focusing on securing orders, enhancing product reliability, and expanding into overseas markets to lay a foundation for future performance [6]. Group 4: Global Market Position - China's wind power industry chain accounts for over 60% of the global market, and other regions, particularly in the Asia-Pacific, will struggle to meet construction demands without Chinese supply chains [4]. - Major companies are actively expanding their overseas orders, with Goldwind Technology's overseas orders increasing by over 42% year-on-year, and Sany Renewable Energy's overseas sales revenue reaching 233 million yuan with a gross margin exceeding 20% [6].