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小摩:料香港收租股上行空间潜力更大 首选恒隆地产(00101)和太古地产
智通财经网· 2026-01-19 02:13
Core Viewpoint - The report from JPMorgan indicates that several brokerages have raised their forecasts for Hong Kong's property price growth to between 5% and 10%, contributing to an 11% rise in Hong Kong real estate stocks this year, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 6% [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - The market appears to have priced in a solid recovery in Hong Kong's property market over the next two years, as many companies' stock prices have reached or are close to historical highs [1] - There is greater potential upside for rental stocks, as improvements in their commercial real estate businesses have not yet been fully reflected in stock prices, with most still trading over 30% below peak levels [1] Group 2: Stock Recommendations - JPMorgan's top picks include Hang Lung Properties (00101) and Swire Properties (01972), due to their ongoing improvements in retail operations in mainland China [1] - Kowloon Development (01997) could emerge as a dark horse if management expresses a more positive outlook on tenant sales during the earnings release in March [1] - Among developers, the preference is for Sino Land (00083) and Henderson Land (00012), but the overall recommendation is to wait for better entry points [1]