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思源电气(002028):业绩符合预期 海外营收高增 下游基本面强劲
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-16 06:32
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 1H25, with revenue and net profit growth exceeding expectations, indicating robust operational momentum and market demand [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 8.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.29 billion yuan, up 45.7% year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue reached 5.27 billion yuan, reflecting a 50.2% year-on-year growth, while net profit was 850 million yuan, marking a 61.5% increase year-on-year [1]. Revenue Breakdown - The overseas revenue surged by 89.0% to 2.86 billion yuan, accounting for 33.7% of total revenue, an increase of 9.1 percentage points [2]. - Domestic revenue grew by 21.1% to 5.63 billion yuan [2]. - The GIS subsidiary's revenue increased by 9.0% to 2.40 billion yuan, while the revenue from circuit breakers and isolators rose by 31.1% to 1.14 billion yuan [2]. Order Growth and Market Trends - The company anticipates continued high growth in new orders, projecting a 25% increase in new contract orders for 2025, amounting to 26.8 billion yuan [4]. - The first three batches of bidding for power transmission and transformation equipment by the State Grid in 2025 are expected to increase by 25% year-on-year [4]. - Strong demand in both domestic and overseas markets is supported by significant investments in power grid infrastructure and renewable energy installations [2][4]. Profitability - The company's overall gross margin remained stable at 31.7%, with overseas gross margin increasing by 1.9 percentage points to 35.7%, while domestic gross margin decreased by 1.3 percentage points to 29.7% [3]. - The net profit margin for 1H25 was 15.2%, reflecting an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged at 2.55 billion yuan and 3.08 billion yuan, respectively [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 27x for 2025 and 22x for 2026, with a target price increase of 19.5% to 98 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 12.6% from the current price [5].