3R理论
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美银:关税“最混乱时刻”已过 大型银行股有望跑赢标普500
智通财经网· 2025-06-05 02:49
Core Viewpoint - Bank stocks may experience a period of outperformance following a wave of market volatility triggered by tariffs, as the worst moments appear to be over [1] Group 1: Bank Stock Performance - Analyst Ebrahim Poonawala highlights that large bank stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 index in terms of stock price performance and earnings per share (EPS) revisions this year [1] - Recommended leading bank stocks include JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US), Wells Fargo (WFC.US), Goldman Sachs (GS.US), Bank of New York Mellon (BK.US), and Morgan Stanley (MS.US) [1] Group 2: 3R Theory - Poonawala's bullish outlook is based on the "3R" theory: Rates, Regulations, and Rebounding activity, which he believes are currently more stable [1] - The structural uplift in the interest rate environment and a more balanced regulatory policy are expected to prompt investors to reassess the relative value of bank stocks [1] Group 3: Regional Banks - Regional bank stocks have lagged behind the overall market in performance and earnings expectations, with banks like Huntington Bancshares (HBAN.US), Fifth Third Bank (FITB.US), and KeyCorp (KEY.US) still considered attractive but needing catalysts such as recognized M&A activity or a rebound in loan business [1] - The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE.US) has declined by 4.6% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 index has increased by 1.5% in the same period [1]