45Z tax credit

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CNX Resources(CNX) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-24 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a production efficiency gain contributing to overall outperformance in production, driven by new well performance and operational execution [46] - The capital efficiency ratio is approximately $0.85 per million, with a production target of $580 million against a capital expenditure of $500 million [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company plans to maintain initial activity levels in the E&P business, with no changes expected at the current time due to storage levels approaching four trillion cubic feet [9] - The Utica wells are performing slightly above expectations, with ongoing efforts to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs [22][23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a sequential decline in production for Q3 and Q4, with a potential increase in activity levels in late 2025 as they prepare for winter [17][19] - The market for renewable natural gas (RMG) is expected to grow, with discussions ongoing with tech companies regarding sustainable energy solutions [35][54] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on balancing the development of its core Southwest PA field while also exploring opportunities in the Utica region [60] - There is an emphasis on leveraging AI and energy solutions to enhance the value of RMG products in the market [35][54] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism regarding the 45Z tax credit program, with expectations for a $30 million annual run rate starting in 2026 [5][28] - The company remains cautious about locking in long-term agreements until there is more clarity on in-basin demand and the connection of data centers to natural gas projects [63][64] Other Important Information - The company is actively working on optimizing drilling and completion operations to improve performance and reduce costs in the Utica play [21] - The management highlighted the importance of sustainability solutions in the context of growing demand for natural gas, particularly from the tech industry [54] Q&A Session Summary Question: Details on the 45Z tax credit timing and eligibility - The first year eligibility to claim credits would be in 2025, with a potential run rate of $30 million starting in 2026 [5][6] Question: Plans for E&P business activity levels - The company will maintain initial activity levels, with no changes expected at this time due to current storage levels [9] Question: Drilling and completion activity levels in the second half - A sequential decline in production is expected for Q3 and Q4, with a potential increase in activity levels in late 2025 [17][19] Question: Cost competitiveness of Utica wells - Current cost structures make Utica wells competitive with Marcellus opportunities, with a focus on improving repeatability of results [51][60] Question: Impact of in-basin demand on long-term natural gas prices - In-basin demand is expected to be bullish for natural gas prices, but the company is cautious about its hedging strategy in the short term [41][42] Question: Recognition of gas value in voluntary carbon markets - The company will sell gas to whichever market recognizes the highest value, with expectations for voluntary pricing to rival regulatory pathways in the long term [52][54]