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建银国际:降中兴通讯(00763)目标价至38港元 料现处转型明年显成效
智通财经网· 2025-11-05 02:32
Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International has downgraded ZTE Corporation's (00763) earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 by 23%, 7%, and 7% respectively due to conservative sales in the operator business and profit margin pressure from product structure changes, while maintaining an "outperform" rating with a revised H-share target price of HKD 38 from HKD 40 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The updated earnings forecasts reflect a significant reduction in expected performance, particularly in the operator network sales, which are projected to decline by 12% in 2025, followed by a 5% growth in 2026 [1] - The capital expenditure budget for the three major domestic telecom operators is expected to decrease by 9% year-on-year in 2025, with actual spending likely to contract further [1] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - ZTE is in a critical transition phase towards becoming a provider of network, cloud, and computing infrastructure, with expected benefits starting to materialize from 2026 [1] - The company has established a significant presence in emerging markets such as Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Africa, which are anticipated to benefit from 4G upgrades and initial 5G deployments [1] Group 3: Government and Corporate Business (G&C) - The demand for computing from domestic internet companies is expected to remain strong through the remainder of this year and into 2026, with G&C business revenue projected to grow by 134% year-on-year in 2025 and by 14% in 2026 [1] - Improvement in gross margins is anticipated as the scale of operations increases and the usage rate of self-developed chips rises [1]