50-day simple moving averages (SMA)
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ET Stock Outperforms Its Industry in a Year: How to Play?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-15 16:50
Core Viewpoint - Energy Transfer LP (ET) has outperformed the Zacks Oil and Gas - Production Pipeline - MLB industry, gaining 7.9% over the past year while the industry declined by 0.8% [1][8]. Performance Summary - Energy Transfer is trading above its 50-day simple moving averages (SMA), indicating a bullish trend [6]. - The company secures 90% of its revenues from fee-based contracts, providing stable cash flow [10]. - ET's current trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA is 9.29X, below the industry average of 10.65X, suggesting it is undervalued [21]. Growth Factors - Energy Transfer has a vast midstream network of nearly 140,000 miles of pipelines, enhancing its competitive edge [11]. - The company is strategically positioned to meet rising U.S. natural gas demand through its extensive storage network [12]. - Strategic acquisitions have bolstered ET's operations, enhancing scale and efficiency [13]. - The company plans to invest $5 billion in capital spending to strengthen its infrastructure [14]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year earnings growth of 8.59% for 2025 and 10.91% for 2026 [15]. - Current estimates for 2025 earnings per unit are $1.39, with a high estimate of $1.46 and a low estimate of $1.31 [17]. Cash Distribution - ET's current quarterly cash distribution rate is 33 cents per common unit, with management raising distribution rates 16 times in the past five years [19]. Comparison with Peers - Plains All American Pipeline (PAA) has seen a decline of 1.9% over the past year, contrasting with ET's growth [6]. - Delek Logistics Partner LP (DKL) has a higher distribution rate but also a higher payout ratio of 151% [20]. Conclusion - Energy Transfer is well-positioned to benefit from increasing U.S. oil, natural gas, and NGL production, supported by fee-based earnings and strategic acquisitions [26].