Support and Downside Targets - The recent swing low of $62.19 marks critical near-term support, with a decisive break below this level confirming a continuation of the broader bearish trend [1] - The next lower target is projected between $60.66 and $60.60, aligning with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a measured target from a falling ABCD pattern [1] - A deeper bearish objective is indicated at $57.71 based on a 100% projection of the same ABCD structure [1] Signs of Potential Reversal - Recent consolidation suggests that bearish momentum has temporarily stalled, opening the possibility for a short-term bullish reversal [2] - A small double bottom pattern has developed, with a breakout signal triggered on a move above last Friday's high of $64.18 [2] - If confirmed, this could lead to a test of resistance near the 20-Day moving average, currently at $65.78 [2] Key Resistance Zone - The resistance area is significant due to an anchored volume weighted average price (AVWAP) line from the June trend low, currently at $65.53 [3] - This AVWAP served as reliable support until it was broken to the downside on August 6 [3] - A rally back into this area would mark a critical test for bulls, as reclaiming the 20-Day average and AVWAP is essential to shift momentum in their favor [3] Outlook - Crude oil remains trapped between support at $62.19 and resistance at $64.18, requiring a breakout beyond either boundary for momentum improvement [4] - Traders can expect further consolidation within this range, with the broader bias continuing to favor the bears [4]

Group 1 - The 50-Day support line is currently at risk, having been tested twice since the breakout in June, with the first test resulting in a bullish hammer candlestick pattern [1] - A significant resistance was encountered at the 200-Day moving average after a sharp advance, indicating a successful test of resistance at the lower rising trend channel [1] - A bear flag pattern was triggered with the breakdown below the lower channel line, indicating potential bearish momentum [1] Group 2 - There is a notable support zone between $65.65 and $65.00, which has previously acted as both support and resistance, including an AVWAP level from the April low [2] - Crude oil found support and bounced from the AVWAP line during a sharp drop from the trend high four weeks ago, reinforcing the significance of this support zone [2] Group 3 - A decisive decline below $65.00 could lead to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $64.50, with a potential further decline to the 78.6% retracement at $60.71 [3] - An ABCD pattern suggests a potential target of $64.42, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci level, indicating a critical price area for future movements [3] - The behavior of the market after reaching the $64.50 area will be crucial, as strong support may lead to a bounce, with recovery speed of the 50-Day MA being a determining factor [3]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, publications, and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to consider their financial situation and needs before relying on the information provided [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before making investment decisions [1].