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云基建长周期景气度再获强化,RubinCPX利好服务器和PCB等环节
Xinda Securities· 2025-09-14 11:37
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The electronic sub-industry has significantly recovered this week, with the Shenwan Electronics Secondary Index year-to-date performance showing notable increases across various segments, including semiconductors (+36.02%), components (+102.57%), and consumer electronics (+41.67%) [9][10] - Oracle's cloud business is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected revenue increase of 8 times over the next four years, indicating strong confidence in the long-term outlook for AI cloud infrastructure [2][3] - NVIDIA's Rubin CPX is designed for large-scale context reasoning, enhancing server assembly value and increasing PCB usage due to its complex rack design [3][25] Summary by Sections Electronic Industry Performance - The Shenwan Electronics Secondary Index has shown significant year-to-date increases across various segments, with components leading at +102.57% and semiconductors at +36.02% [9][10] - Notable stock performance includes Apple (-2.34%), Tesla (+12.85%), and Oracle (+25.51%) this week [10] Oracle's Cloud Business - Oracle reported Q1 FY26 revenue of $14.93 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, with cloud revenue reaching $7.2 billion, up 28% year-over-year [2][3] - The company's "remaining performance obligations" have surged to $455 billion, a 359% increase year-over-year, indicating strong future revenue potential [2][3] NVIDIA's Rubin CPX - The Rubin CPX features 30 petaFLOPs of NVFP4 computing power and is designed to enhance large-scale context reasoning, which is crucial for AI applications [25][26] - The integration of Rubin CPX with NVIDIA Vera CPU and Rubin GPU in the NVL144 CPX rack provides 8 exaFLOPs of computing performance, significantly boosting server capabilities [26][27] - The increased complexity in rack design is expected to benefit server assembly and PCB usage, aligning with the growing demand for AI infrastructure [3][25] Investment Recommendations - Suggested companies to watch include: for overseas AI - Hon Hai Precision Industry, Unimicron Technology, and Shenghong Technology; for domestic AI - Cambricon Technologies, Chipone Technology, and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation [3]