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Tech earnings preview: Investors want to see returns on AI spending boom
Youtube· 2026-01-27 20:59
Core Viewpoint - Tech giants are preparing to report quarterly results, with a significant focus on their capital expenditures related to AI, expected to exceed $400 billion this year [2] Group 1: AI Capital Expenditures - The four major tech companies (Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet) are projected to spend over $400 billion in capital expenditures in 2023 [2] - Analysts predict that the MAG five (excluding Tesla and Nvidia) will see a capital expenditure growth of approximately 34% year-over-year by 2026, with some expecting it to be as high as 50% [3] - There is a belief that the AI capital expenditure boom could exceed current forecasts [4] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Microsoft is facing constraints on capacity despite strong demand for its Azure and AI services, which may impact revenue generation [6] - Amazon is expected to report stronger cloud revenue growth due to increased capacity and investments, with a forecast of acceleration in cloud revenue across major players [11][12] - Google is anticipated to benefit from its Gemini product, which has shown strong performance since its launch, contributing to cloud revenue growth [13] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Nvidia is facing increased competition from Google's TPUs and other alternatives, which may affect its market position [8][9] - Broadcom is positioned as a key player benefiting from competition in the chip space, particularly in relation to Google's TPUs [9] - Oracle is under scrutiny due to cash burn and increasing debt for data center investments, with a significant capital requirement of around $300 billion [15] Group 4: Advertising and Revenue Trends - Meta's ad prices have reportedly increased by approximately 8.8% in Q4 2025, aligning with consensus estimates, indicating potential revenue growth [17][18] - The upcoming midterm elections are expected to provide a seasonal boost to Meta's ad revenue, particularly with limited political ad offerings until the election week [19]