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The next 3 phases of the AI cycle for 2026, plus why Trump's Nvidia announcement didn't move markets
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-09 21:59
Hello and welcome to market domination over time. There are quite a few big bullish bets on markets for 2026 on Wall Street. And our next guest says economic tailwinds should support that market sentiment. Here with me at the desk got Bryant Vancronite, Allspring Global Investments senior portfolio manager. Bryant, always good to see you. Let's start here. Brian, you say the US economy should be good enough for stocks in early 26. Maybe start there. Why, Brian? Like what are the drivers? Is it monetary stim ...
Nvidia reignites chip depreciation debate
Youtube· 2025-11-20 17:33
Core Insights - The debate surrounding the economic lifespan of AI chips, particularly Nvidia's, has intensified, with Nvidia's CFO asserting that chips shipped six years ago are still fully utilized today [1][2] - However, there are concerns about the distinction between physical utilization and economic value creation, as older chips may not generate significant profits despite being operational [3][4] Nvidia's Chip Longevity - Nvidia's CFO Colette Crest emphasized that the company's chips have a longer useful life than commonly perceived, lasting up to six years with full utilization due to CUDA software [2] - Jensen Huang, Nvidia's CEO, acknowledged that while older GPUs can still function, their resale value diminishes significantly with the introduction of newer models, indicating a potential drop in economic value [4][5] Market Dynamics and Investor Concerns - The current tight supply of older chips allows for their continued use, but a shift in supply-demand dynamics could lead to a rapid decline in their value [5] - Investors face uncertainty regarding the economic viability of these chips, complicating the modeling of capital expenditures and profit margins in the AI sector [5] Competitive Landscape - Google is positioning itself as a competitor by developing its own Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) as a long-term alternative to Nvidia's GPUs, recently launching the Nano Banana Pro powered by Gemini 3 [6][7] - The tech trade is experiencing a shift, with Google shares rising nearly 1% amid broader market softness, reflecting investor interest in vertical integration strategies [7] Global Competition and Cost Efficiency - There are significant disparities in spending on GPU infrastructure between American and Chinese companies, with a reported 9:1 ratio, raising questions about how Chinese firms can produce comparable open-source models at a lower cost [9][10] - This cost efficiency and innovation from China contribute to ongoing concerns about the sustainability of the current market dynamics and the potential for a bubble in the AI chip sector [10]
We're still early in the AI cycle, says Bernstein's Stacy Rasgon
CNBC Television· 2025-10-14 12:50
Chip stocks meanwhile giving back some of yesterday's gains. The sector moved higher uh after Open AAI and Broadcom announced a custom uh chip deal. And Broadcom was sharply higher, but it's down today.In the last few minutes, Oracle announcing it's going to deploy 50,000 graphics processors from AMD starting in the second half of 2026. joining us now, Stacy Rasgen and uh Bernstein US semiconductor managing director uh and a senior analyst. And I don't know if you were ever wondering why' I get into this uh ...