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Time to Buy, Hold, or Sell Intel Stock as Q2 Earnings Approach?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-23 20:00
Core Viewpoint - Intel's stock has shown signs of recovery, increasing by 15% in 2025, as anticipation builds for its Q2 results, despite a significant market share loss to competitors like Nvidia, AMD, and Arm Holdings [1][2]. Group 1: Turnaround Strategy - Intel's new CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, has initiated a "bold turnaround strategy" focused on engineering excellence and streamlining management [3]. - The company has restructured its foundry business into a subsidiary called Intel Foundry Services (IFS) to enhance competitiveness against Taiwan Semiconductor [4]. - Intel has recruited top engineers from Apple and Alphabet while reducing factory workforce to foster innovation [4]. Group 2: AI Market Position - Intel's Gaudi 3 AI accelerator is priced significantly lower than Nvidia's offerings, aiming to disrupt the AI hardware market [5]. Group 3: Q2 Expectations - Q2 sales are expected to decline by 7% to $11.87 billion compared to $12.83 billion a year ago, with earnings projected at $0.01 per share, down from $0.02 in the same quarter last year [6]. Group 4: EPS Outlook - Annual earnings for fiscal 2025 are projected to rise to $0.27 per share, a recovery from an adjusted loss of -$0.13 last year, although estimates have decreased from $0.50 per share 90 days ago [8]. - EPS for FY26 is forecasted to rebound to $0.70, but estimates have dropped 37% over the last three months from earlier projections of $1.12 per share [9]. Group 5: Earnings Estimate Trends - Despite a promising turnaround strategy, the trend of declining earnings estimate revisions suggests caution regarding the stock's recent rally, with Intel currently holding a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) [10].