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Oracle Stock Went 6x With One CEO—Now It's Two Again, And Last Time Was A Snooze
Benzinga· 2025-09-23 14:42
Core Viewpoint - Oracle Corp is transitioning back to a co-CEO structure with Clay Magouyrk and Michael Sicilia, raising questions among investors about whether this change will lead to different outcomes compared to the past [1][5]. Historical Performance - During the previous co-CEO era from 2014 to 2019, Oracle experienced modest gains of approximately 20-30% over five years, translating to an annualized growth rate of about 5-6%, with stock prices moving from around $42 to $50-$55 [1][2]. Recent Performance Under Sole Leadership - The stock price surged from approximately $50-$55 at the end of 2019 to $308 today, marking a ~6x increase, driven by cloud adoption and AI-enabled applications, resulting in a total gain of around 450-500% or an annualized rate of 35-50% [3][4]. Leadership Transition and Market Sentiment - The return to a co-CEO structure raises concerns among investors, as dual leadership has historically been viewed skeptically due to potential slower decision-making and accountability issues [2][5]. - However, both new co-CEOs are experienced in cloud technology, and Oracle's fastest-growing segment, OCI, is now central to its business strategy [5]. Investor Considerations - The key for investors will be the execution of strategies under the new leadership, with a focus on maintaining cloud momentum and profit margins to avoid past pitfalls associated with co-CEO setups [5][6]. - At a stock price of $308, there is limited room for error, but significant opportunities exist if the new co-CEOs can replicate the success achieved under Safra Catz's solo leadership [6].