Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart shows strong momentum, breaking previous highs and reaching new historical highs [1] - A potential harmonic pattern reversal was considered but hasn't materialized yet [1] - The analyst is cautious about going long after a large bullish candle, viewing the area as a distribution zone (AMD - Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) [1] - The analyst suggests a potential target of 113% for Bitcoin's upward movement [1] - The analyst notes the absence of bearish divergence in the market, suggesting further upward potential [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst does not recommend going long at the current level due to the AMD pattern indicating a distribution area [1] - The analyst suggests waiting for bearish divergence and the 113% target to consider shorting, rather than placing orders preemptively [1] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of consistency in trading and avoiding extreme views [1] - The analyst suggests that Bybit is the most suitable exchange for technical analysis and contract trading, while Binance is preferred for spot trading [2] Ethereum Analysis - Ethereum is expected to reach a higher target, with the analyst suggesting it is likely to happen [2]

朋友們2025年10月3日 華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣 好像還是真的有那麼一點強勢 目前它還沒有來到ALL TIME HIGH的地方 好像還差那麼一點點 但是它確實已經來到了之前的次前高 我們可以看一下往上面來了一下 就差一點點會不會繼續往上漲 會不會就此掉頭往下跌好吧 這個是我們今天要討論的話題 那麼昨天的時候比特幣其實還在這邊 然後今天就漲了上來 那麼原先我們是有兩種可能性 那麼上周末的時候我是覺得得b往下面跌 跌到這樣的一個位置的時候 很多人可能會認為 還要再繼續往下面跌一下 我之前在行情往下面跌的時候 我是覺得如果說把下面跌破可能會更好 但是來到這邊的時候 出現了這樣的一根k線 也就是出現了比較大的一根大陽線之後 而且我也看到往下面跌的時候 陰線的成交量是幾乎沒有了 然後出現了一根反反彈 這個時候我會認為 它有可能會繼續反彈兩個目標位 一個目標位是0.786% 這邊的加特利形態 然後反轉 第二個就是這樣子的 那麼我會認為 它有可能在這邊反彈了一點點 我就會覺得它有可能會來到奧特曼 那麼目前這個禮拜它是怎麼走的呢 他就是這樣子 現在走到這 ...

Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests that Bitcoin's recent weekly performance is strong, but it's within a consolidation phase, diminishing the significance of bullish engulfing patterns [1] - There's an expectation of a potential bearish candlestick formation in the coming week, which could signal a downturn [1] - The report identifies a target profit-taking zone based on previous high points, suggesting a possible AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) pattern completion [1] - The analysis points out that liquidity has been taken from multiple similar high points, achieving the effect of hunting stop-loss orders for long positions [1] - The report suggests a potential retracement even during a full moon, despite popular belief, due to liquidity grabs and stop-loss hunting [1] Technical Indicators & Patterns - Bitcoin tested previous highs and retraced by 0.66%-0.68% before rising, reaching a previously identified target area [1] - The analysis highlights the importance of a specific trendline, suggesting that staying above it is crucial, while a break below could indicate a false breakout designed to hunt stop-loss orders and gain liquidity [1] - The report mentions a potential small gap on the BB (Bollinger Band) chart that could be filled during a minor rebound, with a possibility of further downward movement to establish a short position [1] - A potential CBD (Correlation Breakdown) divergence is noted on the hourly chart, which could indicate a bearish outlook [1] Comparative Analysis - Ethereum is considered stronger than Bitcoin, as it has transformed previous resistance into support [1] - Bitcoin's unusual trading volume with long upper wicks suggests potential issues, especially if combined with spot market data indicating buying pressure without price appreciation [1]