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New Gold to Report Q2 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 18:15
Core Viewpoint - New Gold (NGD) is expected to report a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 2025, with a projected 400% rise year-over-year to $0.10, driven by improved gold prices and higher production levels [1][4][23] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NGD's EPS has remained stable at 10 cents over the past 60 days, indicating a substantial increase from the previous year's EPS of 2 cents [1] - New Gold has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 79.2% [2][3] Production and Costs - For Q2 2025, total gold production is expected to range between 71,314 ounces and 86,514 ounces, reflecting a growth of 4-26% compared to the same quarter in 2024 [9] - The company anticipates consolidated gold production for 2025 to be between 325,000 and 365,000 ounces, marking a 16% increase year-over-year [7] - All-in sustaining costs (AISC) are projected to be $1,025-$1,125 per ounce in 2025, a 17% decrease at the midpoint due to higher production and lower operating costs [14] Market Conditions - Gold prices averaged around $3,301.42 per ounce in Q2 2025, a 41% year-over-year increase, influenced by various economic factors including geopolitical tensions and strong demand from central banks [6] - The favorable pricing environment for gold is expected to positively impact New Gold's upcoming earnings, as well as those of other gold mining companies [16] Valuation and Investment Thesis - New Gold's stock has increased by 76.6% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average of 57.3% [17] - The company is trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 2.19X, which is lower than the industry average of 3.39X, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [18] - The consolidation of interest in the New Afton mine to 100% is expected to enhance future free cash flow, with gold output projected to grow by 38% from 2024 to 2027 [19][22]
GAU Q1 Earnings Lag Estimates, Revenues Up Y/Y on Higher Gold Prices
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 12:35
Core Viewpoint - Galiano Gold reported disappointing adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 2025, missing estimates due to higher production costs, despite a significant increase in revenues driven by gold price rises and sales volume growth [1][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for Q1 2025 was one cent, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of two cents, and down 67% from three cents in the same quarter last year [1]. - The company posted a loss of 10 cents per share when excluding non-recurring items, compared to a loss of one cent in the prior year [1]. - Revenues surged to approximately $77 million, marking a 142% increase year-over-year, attributed to a 33% rise in gold prices and an 81% increase in sales volume [3][4]. - Galiano Gold sold 26,994 ounces of gold at an average realized price of $2,833 per ounce during the quarter [3]. Production and Costs - The Asanko Gold Mine (AGM) produced 20,734 ounces of gold in Q1 2025, a 32% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to a 14-day shutdown for repairs [2][3]. - The shutdown resulted in an estimated production loss of 4,500-5,000 ounces [3]. - All-in sustaining costs (AISC) were reported at $2,501 per ounce, a 39.5% increase from the prior year [4]. Operational Metrics - Income from mine operations reached $15.4 million, a 148% increase from $6.2 million in the year-ago quarter [5]. - Adjusted EBITDA was $19 million, up from $5.1 million in the previous year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 24.8% [5]. - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 were $106.4 million, with cash generated from operating activities amounting to $25.9 million, compared to $13 million in the prior year [6]. Future Guidance - Galiano Gold anticipates gold output for 2025 to be near the lower end of the previously stated range of 130,000-150,000 ounces due to the production shortfall in Q1 [7]. - AISC is expected to trend toward the upper end of the $1,750–$1,950 per ounce range, influenced by reduced production and increased royalty expenses [8]. Regulatory Changes - The government of Ghana increased the Growth and Sustainability Levy on gold mining companies from 1% to 3%, effective April 1, 2025, which is expected to add approximately $55 per ounce to AISC [9].