Aluminum Production Growth
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Is CENX's Higher Aluminum Production a Catalyst for Future Growth?
ZACKS· 2026-03-17 15:55
Core Insights - Century Aluminum Company (CENX) is experiencing strong global demand for aluminum, driven by improving industrial activity and steady consumption across key end markets [1] - The company benefits from higher regional premiums and favorable market dynamics, which are expected to enhance pricing and profitability [1] Company Overview - CENX operates primary aluminum smelters in the United States and Iceland, with a combined annual production capacity of approximately 770,000 tons [2] - In 2025, the company produced approximately 638,000 tons of primary aluminum and its shipments totaled 647,112 tons [2] Production Capacity and Agreements - The company is working to restore curtailed capacity at the Mt. Holly smelter, expected to reach full production by Q2 2026 [3] - In October 2025, CENX secured an extended power service agreement for the Mt. Holly smelter, ensuring electricity supply through 2031 [3] Strategic Developments - CENX holds a 55% stake in the Jamalco bauxite mining and alumina refining joint venture in Jamaica, ensuring a steady supply of alumina [4] - In January 2026, the company signed a joint development deal with Emirates Global Aluminium to build a new aluminum smelter in Oklahoma, expected to produce 750,000 tons of aluminum annually [4] Peer Comparison - Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) reported flat shipments of 185,000 tons in 2025, with revenues of $1.15 billion, reflecting a 10.4% increase [5] - Constellium SE (CSTM) saw a 6% increase in shipments to 1,086,000 metric tons in 2025, with revenues rising 21% to $5.1 billion [6] Financial Performance - CENX shares have gained 64.6% in the past three months, outperforming the industry's growth of 2.1% [7] - The company is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 1.63X, below the industry average of 2.07X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CENX's 2026 earnings has increased by 42.1% over the past 60 days [12]