铝铝铝 2026/02/05 想说爱你不容易 从业资格证号：F03137989 交易咨询证号：Z0023618 联系方式：chenjingmin@zjtfqh.com 审核：李文涛 交易咨询证号：Z0015640 我公司依法已获取期货交易咨询业务资格 周度变化及展望 作者：陈晶敏 ◼ 开年以来，铝价走势与波动率呈现高度同步，盘面交易逻辑显著偏离铝品目本身 —— 市场焦点集中于美元走势、流动性宽松程 度及贵金属的联动效应，而基本面因素被阶段性淡化。实际上开年至今，国内外供给端已悄然出现边际变化： ➢ 1、美铝旗下Lista铝厂已续签电力合同，并已开始复产；2、我们将冰岛Grundartangi铝厂复产预期由原先的Q4提前至Q3； ➢ 3、我们将莫桑比克Mozal铝厂原先完全停产的预期，调整为部分减产；4、国内东北某铝厂计划于3月启动闲置产能复产。 ➢ 我们将在正文详细展开以上4个铝厂的具体调整及原因，并附最新的海外电解铝厂电力合约表、投产预期表、供需平衡表。 ◼ 基于上述信息，我们本周上调2026年海外和国内的电解铝产量预期。但此前行情走势与以上基本面严重"劈叉"，我们认为核心 逻辑在于：短期接货厂商数量的减少 ...

U.S. equities experienced a challenging day on Thursday, February 5, 2026, as a significant sell-off in technology stocks and discouraging reports from the job market weighed heavily on investor sentiment. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (NDAQ) and the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) both closed sharply lower, marking their third consecutive day of losses, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) also retreated amidst a broad "risk-off" environment.The S&P 500 fell 1.2% to close at 6,798.40, recording its sixt ...

CHICAGO, Feb. 05, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ: CENX) will report fourth quarter 2025 earnings on Thursday, February 19, 2026, after market close. The news release will be issued through GlobeNewswire. The company will hold a follow-up conference call on Thursday, February 19, 2026, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern time. The earnings call will be webcast live on the Century Aluminum Company website, located at www.centuryaluminum.com. Plan to begin the registration process at least 10 minut ...

Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) is one of the cheap hot stocks to invest in right now. On January 26, Century Aluminum announced that it is set to take a 40% stake in a JV with Emirates Global Aluminium/EGA to build the first primary aluminum smelter in the US in nearly 50 years. Located in Inola, Oklahoma, the project is expected to involve an investment of ~$4 billion, with EGA retaining the remaining 60% ownership. Construction is scheduled to begin by the end of 2026, with production aimed to st ...

Key Takeaways Century Aluminum sold its former Hawesville, site to TeraWulf to build a digital infrastructure campus. CENX retains a non-controlling minority stake, preserving exposure to long-term upside and community impact. The project advances TeraWulf's push to meet growing AI and data center demand. Century Aluminum Company (CENX) recently announced the divestment of its Hawesville, KY, facility to TeraWulf Inc., which intends to transform the location into a large-scale digital infrastructure campus ...

【浙商金属】世纪铝业出售25万吨霍斯维尔铝冶炼厂给数据中心开发商 未来潜在变化：根据IAI统计，2024年底全球电解铝耗能936TWH，其中北美耗能54TWH，根据Mckinsey预 测，2030年，美国数据中心 【结论】现有低库存水平下，铝价逐步跳出过去三年的区间震荡，进入铝价上升的主升浪，＃铝价向上空间打 开！ 风险提示：产能变化超预期，宏观政策变化等。 【浙商金属】世纪铝业出售25万吨霍斯维尔铝冶炼厂给数据中心开发商 据公司新闻，世纪铝业将其位于肯塔基州霍斯维尔市、年产能25万吨的闲置铝冶炼厂出售给数据中心开发商泰拉 沃尔夫（TeraWulf），配套电力约480MW，该厂区将被改造重建为数字基础设施园区。 建筑影响减弱，工业材+电力+交通增量需求集中释放。 据公司新闻，世纪铝业将其位于肯塔基州霍斯维尔市、年产能25万吨的闲置铝冶炼厂出售给数据中心开发商泰拉 沃尔夫（TeraWulf），配套电力约480MW，该厂区将被改造重建为数字基础设施园区。 一、十五五规划国家电网投资四万亿，同增40%；二、全球数据中心的用电量估计从415太瓦时（TWh），到2030 年达到约945太瓦时。 未来潜在变化：根据IAI ...

CHICAGO, Feb. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ: CENX) today announced the sale of the Hawesville, Kentucky site, which will be redeveloped by TeraWulf Inc. (NASDAQ:WULF) into a digital infrastructure campus supporting high-performance computing and artificial intelligence workloads. Century will retain a non-controlling minority equity stake, reflecting its continued interest in the site’s productive reuse and long-term benefits to the Hawesville community. The redevelopment of ...

Core Insights - The CEO of Century Aluminum Company, Jesse Gary, sold 150,000 shares for approximately $7.2 million, coinciding with a significant stock surge and upcoming major plans for the company [1][2] Company Overview - Century Aluminum Company is a leading producer of various metals, including primary aluminum products, operating in the U.S. and Iceland, with additional facilities in the Netherlands and Jamaica [5] - The company reported a revenue of $2.53 billion and a net income of $80.80 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - The company has experienced a 149.34% increase in stock price over the past year [4] Recent Developments - On January 26, Century Aluminum announced a partnership with Emirates Global Aluminum to establish the first aluminum smoldering plant in the U.S. in 47 years, expected to create 1,000 jobs [8] - The U.S. administration is pushing to increase domestic aluminum production, with Century Aluminum holding a 40% stake in the new plant, which is significant given the high demand for aluminum [9] Transaction Analysis - The recent sale of 150,000 shares by Jesse Gary is larger than his previous median sell transactions, representing 20.84% of his total holdings at the time, compared to a prior median of 15.38% [7] - The shares were sold at a weighted average price of $48.19, close to the market close price of $48.71 on the transaction date, indicating the sale occurred at historically elevated price levels [7]

Core Insights - The American aluminum industry is experiencing a resurgence due to national security concerns, supply-chain vulnerabilities, and competition from China [1] - Aluminum is increasingly recognized as a strategic material essential for defense readiness and economic security [1] Industry Overview - The importance of aluminum extends beyond consumer goods, impacting various sectors including homes, vehicles, aircraft, and military systems [4] - Aluminum is integral to national defense, with applications in tank armor, fighter jets, and missile propellant [4] Supply Chain Dynamics - The current aluminum supply chain is described as "thin," with minimal margin for disruption, indicating high vulnerability to incidents such as plant fires [5] - A disruption in the supply chain could have widespread implications, affecting production across various consumer products [5] Policy Impact - The U.S. aluminum industry has seen a significant reduction in smelters, from dozens to just a few, prior to the implementation of tariffs [5] - Trade protections initiated during President Trump's administration have contributed to a rise in aluminum production [6] Economic and Community Impact - New aluminum production capacity is expected to create long-term industrial clusters, attracting related businesses and sustaining jobs for generations [7] - Investments in aluminum production are anticipated to resonate within communities for decades, with expectations for smelters to operate for over 50 to 100 years [7]

Core Insights - Century Aluminum Company (CENX) and Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA) have entered a joint development agreement to build a primary aluminum production facility in Inola, OK, marking the first new primary aluminum plant in the U.S. since 1980 [1][7] - The facility is projected to be the largest primary aluminum production plant in the U.S., with an expected output of 750,000 tons of aluminum per year, which will more than double the current U.S. production capacity [1][7] Joint Venture Details - EGA will hold a 60% stake in the joint venture, while Century Aluminum will own the remaining 40% [2] - The project is anticipated to create approximately 4,000 construction jobs and 1,000 permanent direct jobs once operational [2] Project Timeline and Technology - Construction is targeted to begin by the end of 2026, with production expected to start by the end of the decade [2][7] - The Inola smelter will leverage EGA's expertise in aluminum smelting design and technology, along with Century Aluminum's operational experience [3] Market Impact - Currently, about 85% of U.S. aluminum demand is met through imports; the project aims to reduce this dependence by increasing domestic supply [4] - The plant's location at the Tulsa Port of Inola will enhance access to the Mississippi River system, facilitating efficient bulk freight mobility and supporting the development of a regional aluminum manufacturing hub in Oklahoma [5] Stock Performance - CENX stock has increased by 162.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 47.2% [5]