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观车 · 论势 || 以旧换新推动车市扩容提质
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang· 2026-02-25 09:26
当前,汽车行业总产值在我国GDP中占比约10%,稳住汽车消费,便是稳住经济基本盘。在日前举 行的地方两会上,提振和扩大汽车消费均被置于首位。上海提出更大力度提振消费、优化实施以旧换 新;吉林锚定新能源产业产值增长8%以上目标;湖南优化消费券发放机制……一场汽车消费市场扩容 提质行动正在全国落地。 今年以来,各地密集发布力度更大、范围更广的以旧换新补贴政策,持续推动汽车市场扩容提质。 商务部最新统计数据显示,截至2月5日,2026年汽车以旧换新补贴申请达33.5万份,直接带动新车销售 额537.7亿元;全国报废汽车回收量65.9万辆,同比激增50.2%;参与以旧换新的新车平均价格超16万 元,较上年实现显著提升,直观印证了汽车消费的升级趋势。 全国报废汽车回收量同比增长50.2%,远超市场预期,意味着以旧换新政策在拉动消费的同时,成 为淘汰老旧高排放车辆、助力"双碳"目标实现的重要力量。通过提高老旧车辆回收效率和残值,破解车 主"报废不如卖废铁"的痛点,加速汽车保有量结构的绿色迭代。 从吉林的新能源产值目标,到各地对汽车回收产业的专项扶持,以旧换新正重塑汽车产业生态,既 拉动前端新车销售,更带动后端回收、再制造 ...
汽车政策专家:2026汽车行业展望
2025-12-15 01:55
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the automotive industry, specifically the policies surrounding vehicle replacement and subsidies in China, particularly the "old-for-new" vehicle replacement policy which is set to continue until 2027 with a target of recycling 9 million vehicles by 2027, doubling the amount from 2023 [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - The total funding for the "old-for-new" program is projected to be approximately 300 billion yuan for 2024-2025, with an expected increase to 400 billion yuan in 2026, of which about 10% (around 40 billion yuan) will be allocated to new energy vehicles [1][2]. - Local governments are expected to implement differentiated subsidy policies, with cities like Guangzhou already offering subsidies of 20,000 yuan for new energy vehicles and 15,000 yuan for fuel vehicles [1][3]. - The national government will provide the main funding support for the "old-for-new" program, distributing funds to local governments at a 9:1 ratio for vehicle scrapping and replacement [1][4]. - The subsidy standards may see an increase in technical requirements, with higher thresholds for vehicle registration years and emission standards, although the per-vehicle subsidy amount may slightly decrease to cover more consumers [1][6][7]. Additional Important Content - The "old-for-new" subsidy policy has significantly stimulated domestic automotive sales over the past year, and the continuation of this policy is expected to be confirmed before the Spring Festival in 2026 [2]. - Local governments are likely to relax purchase restrictions and promote policies to encourage rural areas to adopt new energy vehicles, with a target of establishing 28 million charging facilities by 2027 to support 80 million electric vehicles [2][11][15]. - The government has set a requirement for public vehicle procurement to be at least 30% for new energy vehicles, which is expected to further boost sales in this segment [12]. - The market supervision authority aims to maintain market order by combating malicious promotions and false advertising, encouraging healthy competition among enterprises [13][14]. - The national plan includes establishing over 100,000 high-power charging stations by 2027, with ongoing pilot projects for charging and battery swapping [15]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the development of new energy and intelligent connected vehicles, aiming for a market share of 70-80% for new energy vehicles by 2030 [19]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the automotive industry's future, particularly focusing on government policies, funding, and market dynamics.