Average Directional Index (ADX)
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Bitcoin Bounces to $69K, But Charts Are Still Bearish: Analysis
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 19:00
Market Sentiment - The crypto market is experiencing extreme fear, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index at 8 points, just above the all-time low of 5 [1] - Despite the panic, the global crypto market cap increased by 4.3% to $2.36 trillion, although approximately $2 trillion has been lost in recent weeks [1] Bitcoin Predictions - Traders on Myriad are pricing in a 55% chance that Bitcoin will reach $55,000 before recovering to $84,000, indicating a lack of confidence [2] - Standard Chartered has reduced its Bitcoin price target from $300,000 to the $100,000 range, cautioning that it could drop to $50,000 first [2] Economic Indicators - Today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release is critical, with analysts expecting inflation at 2.5% year-over-year; a high reading could push Bitcoin towards $60,000, while a lower one may provide some relief for bulls [3] Bitcoin Price Movement - Bitcoin's price rose from $68,248 to an intraday high of $69,450, settling around $69,321, reflecting a 3.69% increase in 24 hours, but the overall trend appears weak [4] Trend Analysis - The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 51.3, indicating a strong bearish trend; readings above 50 suggest conviction in the trend [5] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 35.0, indicating bearish momentum; traders typically wait for the RSI to exceed 50 for a momentum shift [6] - The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is below the 200-day EMA, indicating a classic bearish setup, suggesting that recent price action is weaker than the broader trend [7]
Bitcoin Plunge Could Get Much Worse as Death Cross Gains Power
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-29 21:34
Market Overview - The crypto market is experiencing significant challenges, with Bitcoin's price declining while traditional safe havens like gold and silver are gaining value [1][2] - Gold surpassed $5,600 per ounce and silver reached $121, contrasting sharply with Bitcoin's struggles [1][2] Investor Behavior - Investors are gravitating towards gold and silver due to rising macroeconomic uncertainties, including potential U.S. government shutdowns and Federal Reserve indecision [2] - Bitcoin's relatively short 15-year history is not sufficient to instill confidence during periods of market fear, leading to a preference for more established assets [3] Bitcoin Price Dynamics - Bitcoin is currently trading at $83,405, down 6.46% from previous levels, having fallen from a high of nearly $97,000 earlier in the year [4] - The price has breached multiple support levels, indicating a bearish trend that may continue [4] Technical Indicators - The occurrence of a "death cross," where the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) falls below the 200-day EMA, signals a long-term bearish outlook for Bitcoin [5][6] - This technical pattern has historically preceded significant price declines in Bitcoin, suggesting a potential repeat of past market behaviors [6] Market Sentiment - The Average Directional Index (ADX) is currently at 24, indicating a weakening trend strength as it approaches the critical threshold of 25 [8] - A failure to reclaim the 50-day EMA, currently around $88,000, suggests that Bitcoin faces substantial resistance before any recovery can occur [7]
Bitcoin, Solana Break Below Key Price Support: Here’s What the Charts Are Saying
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-20 21:28
The crypto market is bleeding again. Total market capitalization sits at $3.01 trillion today, down 4.27% over the past 24 hours as Bitcoin and Solana both broke below critical support levels with decisive, heavy-bodied candles—the kind that leave little room for interpretation. On Myriad, the prediction market built by Decrypt's parent company Dastan, traders are recalibrating fast. The odds for Bitcoin pumping to $100,000 before dumping to $69,000 now stand at 72.5%—down sharply from 85% just yesterday. ...
Bitcoin Slides as Crypto Markets Correct: Is the Golden Cross at Risk?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-19 19:25
Market Overview - Bitcoin's recent price surge above $97,000 has reversed, with current trading at $93,192, indicating a loss of optimism among traders [1] - The global cryptocurrency market cap is now at $3.15 trillion, reflecting a 2.38% decline from the previous day, with over $800 million in leveraged long positions liquidated in the last 24 hours [2] Cryptocurrency Performance - Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies, only three have shown gains above 1% in the last day: Midnight, Quant, and Monero, the latter experiencing renewed interest due to its privacy features [3] - Prediction market traders show cautious optimism, with 82% betting on Bitcoin's price moving towards $100,000, while 73% believe it will not reach a new all-time high before July [3][4] Technical Analysis - Bitcoin has been recovering since November lows near $80,000, briefly testing the $96,000 zone but has since retreated below the EMA50, which is around $93,000 [5] - The golden cross remains intact, but the narrowing gap between short-term and long-term moving averages raises concerns about the sustainability of the bullish signal [6] - The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 32.7, indicating a strong trend is in place, with prices bouncing at clear upward support, suggesting a slow price increase despite recent volatility [7]
Bitcoin Enters Death Cross—And Ethereum Isn’t Far Behind: Analysis
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 21:37
Market Overview - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant declines, with Bitcoin dropping to approximately $88,000, a decrease of over 20% in the last 30 days [2] - The total crypto market capitalization has fallen to $3.04 trillion, down 4.82% in the last 24 hours, with 95% of cryptocurrencies showing losses [2] - The Fear and Greed Index has reached a low of 16, indicating extreme fear among investors, the lowest level since April [2] Investor Sentiment - Expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December are diminishing, contributing to negative market sentiment [3] - Bitcoin ETFs have seen record outflows, with BlackRock alone experiencing $523 million in outflows in a single day [3] - Traders are increasingly seeking hedges against a potential crypto winter anticipated in 2026 [3] Market Predictions - On the Myriad prediction market, 73.3% of traders are betting that Bitcoin will drop to $85,000, while only 26.7% believe it will rise to $115,000 [4] - For Ethereum, traders estimate a 62% chance that its price will decline to $2,500 from its current level of around $2,800 [4] Technical Analysis - Bitcoin's price opened at $92,911 but fell over 4% to $88,605, marking a fresh seven-month low and dropping below the critical $90,000 psychological level [5] - The formation of a "death cross" has been confirmed, with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossing below the 200-day EMA, indicating a bearish market trend [7] - The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 38.25, suggesting a strong downtrend with significant momentum behind the current selloff [8]
Bitcoin Bounces Back: Can Bullish Momentum Hold or Has the Market Topped?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-05 19:54
Core Insights - Bitcoin experienced a significant price drop, briefly falling below $100,000 for the first time since May, but has since shown signs of recovery with a current trading price of $103,824 [1][5] - The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has bounced back to $3.5 trillion, reflecting a 3.5% gain in the past 24 hours [2] - The recent market activity has resulted in over $2 billion in liquidations, primarily from long positions, marking one of the largest flush-outs of leveraged positions this year [1][2] Market Context - Traditional markets are mixed, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.7% and 0.9% respectively, while the ongoing U.S. government shutdown adds uncertainty to economic data and policy decisions [3] - Despite negative sentiment on social media, there is a marginally bullish outlook for Bitcoin, with a 67% chance predicted for it to return to $115,000 rather than dropping to $85,000 [4] Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin is at 38, indicating oversold conditions and suggesting that selling pressure is waning [6][7] - The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 20.33, indicating a lack of strong trend conviction in the market [7]
Bitcoin Market Flips Bullish: Do the Charts Align With Sentiment?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-20 21:02
Market Sentiment - Bitcoin prediction market sentiment has shifted, with 52% of traders now expecting Bitcoin to reach $120,000 first, compared to 75% just three days ago who believed it would hit $100,000 first [1] - The broader crypto market is experiencing a recovery from its worst October performance since 2019, with Bitcoin currently trading around $110,000 and up 1.75% over the last 24 hours [2] Technical Analysis - The Fear & Greed Index is at 29, indicating "fear" in the market, while U.S. Bitcoin ETFs experienced $366 million in outflows [3] - Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 44.15, suggesting strong selling pressure as it remains below the neutral 50 line [3] - The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 27, indicating a "weak" trend, suggesting that the current downtrend could reverse or stall [4] - The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is above the 200-day EMA, which is typically a bullish signal, but Bitcoin is currently trading below the fast-moving average [5]
XRP Reclaims Crucial Price Support: Can Bulls Hold the Line?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-02 20:05
Core Insights - XRP is experiencing a price increase, currently trading above $3.00, with a market cap exceeding $182 billion, marking a 4% rise today and over 9% in the last 30 days [1][2] - The broader cryptocurrency market is showing positive momentum, with Bitcoin trading above $120,000 and institutional interest in XRP derivatives increasing due to CME's upcoming 24/7 futures launch [2] - Market sentiment is shifting towards a bullish outlook for XRP, with traders on Myriad predicting a 55% chance of XRP reaching $4 before dropping to $2, a significant change from the previous week [3][4] Price Action and Technical Analysis - XRP's price has shown a bounce from an opening of $2.9485 to a high of $3.0599, indicating a 3.8% increase from the daily low of $2.9424, continuing a trend that began on September 26 [4] - Despite the positive price movement, technical analysis reveals that XRP is trapped in a horizontal channel following a descending triangle pattern since July, creating a critical inflection point for future price movements [5] - The Average Directional Index (ADX) for XRP is at 14, indicating a lack of trend strength, as values below 25 suggest directionless price action and potential for false breakouts [6][7]
Bitcoin Rally Pushes Crypto Into Green for September, But Alts Are Lagging: Analysis
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-30 22:19
Market Overview - Bitcoin is currently trading above $114,000, showing resilience with a nearly 1% increase despite broader market weakness, and is described as entering a "cooling phase" that may lead to an upward move [3][6] - The global cryptocurrency market cap is approximately $4 trillion, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both experiencing modest rebounds, while many altcoins are struggling [6] - The Altcoin Season Index has dropped from 77 to 58 points, indicating a shift in trader sentiment towards Bitcoin or exiting the market entirely [4] Technical Indicators - Bitcoin maintains a golden cross formation, with the 50-day moving average above the 200-day moving average, suggesting a bullish medium-term trend [2] - The Average Directional Index (ADX) for Bitcoin is at 18, indicating a lack of strong trend establishment and leaving the market vulnerable to external shocks [8] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin is around 50, reflecting a balanced market, while the Squeeze Momentum Indicator has flipped bearish, suggesting a wait-and-see environment [10][11] Sentiment and Predictions - Prediction market data shows a 74% expectation of further declines in Bitcoin's price before the next trading session, with traders split on the next direction [11][12] - Myriad traders have placed 53% odds on Bitcoin moving towards $125,000 and 47% on a dip back to $105,000, indicating mixed sentiment [12] Cardano (ADA) Analysis - Cardano is currently trading just above $0.80, down approximately 1% today, and is 74% off its all-time high of $3.09 [13] - The 50-day EMA is above the 200-day EMA, indicating a long-term bullish structure, but short-term momentum is soft, with a potential "death cross" looming [15][16] - The RSI for ADA is at 40, suggesting bearish-to-neutral territory, while the ADX at 22 indicates a lack of decisive trend [17] Dogecoin (DOGE) Analysis - Dogecoin has fallen 3.3% to $0.227, testing critical support levels, with immediate support at $0.227 and resistance at $0.236 [19][26] - The 50-day EMA is above the 200-day EMA, indicating a constructive longer-term setup, but near-term weakness is evident [21] - Despite current challenges, there is optimism regarding a potential Dogecoin ETF approval by year-end, which could attract institutional investment [23][24]
Bitcoin Bounces as Crypto Market Turns Green: Where Do Prices Go Next?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 18:38
Market Overview - The Average Directional Index (ADX) for Bitcoin is at 18, indicating a lack of clear trend in the market, with Bitcoin trading sideways for weeks [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin is at 52, suggesting a neutral market where neither bulls nor bears have decisive control [2] - Bitcoin has shown a measured recovery, gaining 1.85% to close at $113,985, with an intraday peak of $114,309 [3] Economic Context - The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00%-4.25%, with ongoing uncertainty around inflation [4] - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has rebounded to $3.91 trillion, up 3.29% in the past 24 hours, with 95% of the top 100 cryptocurrencies posting gains [5] Technical Indicators - Bitcoin's 50-day EMA is above the 200-day EMA, indicating bullish sentiment, but the gap is closing, which may lead to a "death cross" formation if the trend continues [7][8] - The ADX for Solana is at 27, suggesting that bulls maintain control despite modest gains [14] Predictions and Sentiment - On Myriad, traders place the odds at 46% that Bitcoin will hit $125K before $105K, reflecting a cautious market sentiment [9] - Predictions for Solana hitting a new all-time high have dropped to 40%, down from 65% just over a week ago [16] Key Levels - Immediate support for Bitcoin is at $108,000, with resistance at $114,309 and strong resistance at $117,000 [12] - For Solana, immediate support is at $204.82, with strong support at $200.00 and immediate resistance at $213.58 [18] Upcoming Events - The upcoming SEC decisions on Solana ETF applications could serve as a catalyst for institutional flows, with a 90% approval chance estimated by Bloomberg analysts [15]