Balancing heritage with innovation

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How Long Can NIKE Rely on Jordan Brand to Drive Growth?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-18 19:06
Core Insights - NIKE's Jordan Brand remains a strong asset, but reported a double-digit decline in classic footwear franchises in Q3 fiscal 2025, indicating potential market saturation [1][8] - NIKE is implementing a diversified brand strategy, focusing on new product launches while managing classic lines to rejuvenate the market [2][8] - Long-term growth for NIKE will depend on balancing heritage with innovation, as the Jordan brand alone cannot sustain growth indefinitely [3] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors for NIKE in the footwear and accessories market include Deckers Outdoor Corporation and adidas AG [4] - Deckers is positioned for growth with strong brand equity and a focus on international expansion, particularly through its HOKA and UGG brands [5] - adidas is expanding its market presence through new product lines and collaborations, offering a wide range of athletic apparel and footwear [6] Financial Performance - NIKE shares have declined by 22.1% year to date, compared to a 19% decline in the industry [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 30.53X, higher than the industry average of 24.42X [9] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 and 2026 indicate a year-over-year decline of 46.1% and 11.4%, respectively, with EPS estimates showing stability for fiscal 2025 but a downward trend for fiscal 2026 [10][11]