Market Reactions - The recent market fluctuations are largely reactions to tariff news, particularly the 100% tariff on China and subsequent reassurances from Trump that the situation will resolve itself [1][2] - The market rebound only recovered about half of the losses experienced on the previous Friday, indicating lingering skepticism among investors [2] Bond Market Insights - The bond market is currently seen as an alternative to the stock market, providing lower risk with returns of about 5-6% annually, compared to stock market returns of 10-15% [4][5] - Rising bond yields, particularly approaching 5%, can negatively impact the stock market as investors may prefer the safety of bonds over stocks [5][6] Bianco Research Index - The Bianco Research Total Return Index is designed as an actively managed fixed income fund, aiming to outperform traditional indices [7][11] - The index is currently underweight in corporate bonds due to high stock market valuations and tight corporate spreads, while being overweight in mortgages [9][10] Emerging Market Debt - Emerging market local currency debt is yielding approximately 6.8%, benefiting from a weakening dollar, making it an attractive alternative to stocks [12][13] - The strategy includes being underweight in China and other tariff-affected regions to mitigate risks associated with potential trade issues [13][14] Inflation Concerns - There are ongoing concerns about inflation, with expectations for the upcoming CPI report to show core inflation at 3.1%, which remains problematic despite being lower than previous highs [15][16] - The company maintains a long position in short-term TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) due to the belief that inflation will continue to be an issue [15][16]