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Goldman Warns Base Metals Rally at Risk on Weak Chinese Demand
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 18:20
Core Viewpoint - The rally in base metals may face challenges due to rising prices and optimistic sentiment conflicting with declining demand from manufacturers, particularly in China [1]. Group 1: Demand Trends - Goldman Sachs' recent survey indicates that order books at fabricators have decreased by 10% to 30%, as industries such as consumer electronics and hardware reduce their orders [2]. - There is a noted slowdown in grid orders, which are crucial for copper consumption in China, the largest economy in Asia [2]. Group 2: Price Movements - The LMEX Index, which tracks six major materials on the London Metal Exchange, has increased by approximately 7% this year, nearing the record set in 2022 [3]. - Benchmark copper prices rose by 0.6%, settling at $13,086.50 per ton on the LME, close to the record established earlier this month [3]. - Aluminum has reached a three-year high in London, while other metals, excluding lead, have also seen price increases [3].