Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 has reached new records in 2026, increasing nearly 21% over the last 12 months and approximately 41% since its low in April of the previous year, raising concerns about the sustainability of the bull market [1] Investment Metrics - The Buffett indicator, which measures the ratio of U.S. gross domestic profit (GDP) to U.S. stock market capitalization, is currently at 222%, indicating a potential warning sign for investors [3][4] - Historically, when the Buffett indicator approaches 200%, it has signaled a bear market, as seen in November 2021 when it reached around 193% before the S&P 500 began its decline [4] Market Outlook - While the Buffett indicator is at a record high, it does not guarantee an imminent bear market or recession, suggesting that the market may still have room to grow before a downturn occurs [6] - Investors are advised to prepare their portfolios by ensuring that their stocks are from solid companies with long-term growth potential, as strong businesses are better positioned to withstand market volatility [7]

Core Viewpoint - Robinhood's stock price is currently in a bear market, having declined nearly 30% from its peak in 2025, with a notable acceleration in its drop following recent developments regarding the CLARITY Act in the US Senate [1] Group 1 - Robinhood's stock has experienced a significant decline, falling nearly 30% from its highest level in 2025 [1] - The decline in Robinhood's stock price has accelerated due to new developments related to the CLARITY Act [1]

Mark HulbertMark Hulbert is a columnist for MarketWatch. His Hulbert Ratings service tracks investment newsletters that pay a flat fee to be audited. ...

Over the past month, analysts have increasingly positioned Bitcoin in an ongoing bear market. However, five key data points show the market is going through a mid-cycle reset after the sharp rally to record highs in late 2025. On-chain and ETF data now show the selling wave is losing force. Instead of long-term investors exiting, the data points to late buyers being flushed out while stronger holders absorb supply. This matters because mid-cycle resets often mark the transition from panic selling to accu ...

Group 1 - The stock market has experienced double-digit percentage returns for three consecutive years, with expectations for continued growth despite potential corrections [1][8] - Investors are encouraged to accumulate shares of reliable growth stocks during market downturns, specifically highlighting two fintech stocks: Robinhood and Interactive Brokers [1][8] Group 2 - Robinhood is recognized as one of the fastest-growing fintech companies, with significant revenue growth and rising profit margins, leading to a nearly tripled stock value in 2025 [3][4] - In Q3, Robinhood doubled its revenue year over year, with its prediction market segment showing substantial growth, and the crypto segment increasing by over 300% year over year [4][5] - The demand for prediction markets is expected to enhance transaction activity across Robinhood's other assets, such as stocks and options [6] Group 3 - Interactive Brokers is gaining market share and reported a 67% year-over-year increase in stock trading volume, contributing to a 23% overall revenue growth [7][8] - Net interest income constituted approximately two-thirds of total sales for Interactive Brokers, increasing by 21% year over year, indicating higher investor confidence in borrowing against margin [9] - Customer margin loans for Interactive Brokers reached $77.3 billion in Q3, reflecting a 39% year-over-year increase, suggesting more frequent trading activity among investors [9]

US stocks slipped Monday to start the final three days of trading in a rollercoaster 2025 that looks likely to end with sizable gains. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) declined 0.5%, as shares of megacaps Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA) both fell over 1.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) also fell 0.5%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) dipped around 0.3%. Meanwhile, volatility gripped the precious metals trade after a furious rally to all-time highs. Silver (SI=F) retreated, plummeting as much a ...

Although valuations are subjective (i.e., what you find to be pricey might be viewed as a bargain by another investor), one time-tested valuation measure fully supports Fed Chair Powell's commentary that the broader market is historically expensive. This valuation tool is the S&P 500's Shiller Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio, which is also referred to as the cyclically adjusted P/E Ratio, or CAPE Ratio.The point of emphasis is the final six words of Powell's statement: "equity prices are fairly highly valued. ...

Market Overview - The crypto market opened on December 18 amid fear and uncertainty, with Bitcoin trading between $86,000 and $87,000, and the combined crypto market cap precariously above $3 trillion [1] - Bitcoin ETF flows have seen over $500 million exiting various BTC ETF products since December 16, indicating a defensive stance from investors [4] Memecoins Performance - Memecoins, particularly PIPPIN and TROLL, have shown significant gains, with PIPPIN up nearly +7% and TROLL up +5% in the past 24 hours [2][6] - The recent surge in memecoins is attributed to a federal court allowing a second amended class-action complaint involving Pump.fun and Solana-linked entities [2] Market Sentiment - There is a divide among traders, with some believing the market is in a bear phase while others see current price actions as a correction before a potential rise in 2026 [3] - Despite the struggles of Bitcoin and major caps, the memecoin sector is providing a glimmer of hope, with PIPPIN and TROLL showing strength [5] Privacy Tokens - Monero (XMR) has outperformed most of the market over the last 12 months, up 95%, and is up 145% against Bitcoin this year [7] - XMR, TROLL, and PIPPIN are considered top candidates for investment during uncertain market conditions [7]

This is a very interesting chart, as household stock wealth being higher than real estate wealth has only happened in the late 60s and late 90s, the last two times the ensuing bear market lasted years.Beary Burry https://t.co/OqD3B7qGIl ...

Bitcoin is headed for its fourth annual decline in its history, falling as much as 5.2% and is now about 7% lower for the year, with volumes low and investors bailing on Bitcoin ETFs. The bear market means Bitcoin has decoupled from stocks, with the S&P 500 closing at a record earlier this month and up 16% for the year, while Bitcoin has struggled to find a footing, indicating traders are staying on the sidelines, at least for now. MARA Chairman & CEO Fred Thiel, however, expects a great performance from B ...