Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin has not broken down, suggesting that if the four-year cycle is indeed disrupted, the current bear market may conclude sooner than expected [1]. Group 1: Market Analysis - James Foord, an economist with a decade of experience, leads The Pragmatic Investor, which focuses on creating diversified portfolios to preserve and grow wealth [1]. - The Pragmatic Investor covers various sectors including global macro, international equities, commodities, technology, and cryptocurrencies, aiming to assist investors at all levels [1]. - The platform offers features such as a portfolio, weekly market updates, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room for investor engagement [1].

If you can't beat the market, you'd better hope it falls - MarketWatch## Mark Hulbert# If you can't beat the market, you'd better hope it falls## Investment professionals rarely outperform in a bull market. If you want stock picking to pay off, you're essentially rooting for a crash.Published: Feb. 26, 2026 at 8:15 a.m. ETShareResizeWill this year bring a bear market? Photo: Getty Images/iStockInvestment advisers hoping for a return of a "stock-pickers market†should be careful what they wish for. I'm referr ...

Bitcoin (BTC) continued its downward trajectory in February, trading at $64,492, nearly 50% below its early October all-time high (ATH) price. Yet, price action tells only part of the story. According to River, Bitcoin adoption accelerated last year, with institutions, banks, merchants, public companies, and even nation-states increasing their exposure. Is Bitcoin’s 50% Decline Masking a Structural Bullish Trend? BeInCrypto recently reported that the crypto market has slipped into extreme fear, with reta ...

The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has traded sideways during the first few weeks of 2026, but investors have reason to think the benchmark index will decline sharply at some point this year. Contracts on the popular prediction market Kalshi predict a stock market correction is more likely than not, and history puts the odds of a bear market at approximately 50% in 2026. Here's what investors should know. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known com ...

Arsenal & Arteta = HODLers 🏴‍☠️Man City & Pep = Bear market 🐻The good news? We can buy the dip with 0 fees via Poloniex Super Membership:https://t.co/1vig4bhFbK https://t.co/8IyXMpYI8B ...

Core Viewpoint - The oil market is experiencing fluctuations due to potential geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Iran, which could lead to supply disruptions and affect prices significantly. Group 1: Current Oil Prices and Market Trends - West Texas Intermediate crude oil is currently priced at $66.50, reflecting a 2% increase today, following a period of low prices earlier this year [1] - The lowest price for oil this year was $55, and the market is now approaching last year's average price, which was around $80 [3] - Historical trends indicate that supply disruptions in the Middle East often lead to price peaks, after which Western producers typically sell forward, causing prices to decline [3] Group 2: Geopolitical Factors and Supply Concerns - Traders are focused on how high oil prices can rise and when they can adjust their hedges to manage supply surpluses in the Western hemisphere [4] - There are concerns about whether Gulf states can maintain excess capacity if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, which could impact global oil supply [4][5] - The U.S. administration's relationships with Middle Eastern producers, particularly Saudi Arabia, may influence supply levels and pricing strategies [6] Group 3: Impact of Venezuelan Oil and Western Hemisphere Supply - The shift in oil supply dynamics is evident, with net liquid fuel exports from the U.S. and Canada reaching 8 million barrels per day, compared to 11 million barrels per day during the peak prices of $145 [11] - Venezuela's oil production is contributing to the trend of increased supply from the Western Hemisphere, which includes countries like Canada, Brazil, and Guyana [12] - The geopolitical landscape is changing, with Venezuela's oil previously going to Cuba, now facing restrictions, which may further isolate Iran, China, and Russia [12]

Just when investors thought that things couldn't get any worse, the market surprised them. PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL), once a booming player in the digital payments space, is crashing again. After it reported fourth-quarter 2025 financial results, the share price immediately plunged 20%. It's down 30% this year (as of Feb. 17), while trading about 87% below its record. This fintech stock lives in bear market territory. Should investors buy PayPal now? Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revea ...

FLIGHTIVE. AND BOBBY JOINS US NOW FROM CRYPTO STORAGE. I WONDER IF YOU'RE ABLE TO EXPLAIN OR RUN BACK THE RECENT PRICE ACTION WE'VE SEEN IN BITCOIN.BOBBY: YES, BITCOIN PRICE IS VERY VOLATILE AND A LOT OF IT IS DUE TO TRADING, NOT INVESTMENT BUT SOME ARE TRADING ON THE SPOT EXCHANGES, DERIVATIVES, FUTURES, AND YOU SAID THE OPTIONS MARKET AND FUTURES MARKET. SO WITH A LOT OF LONGS AND SHORT POSITION, IT BECOMES A VERY VOLATILE ASSET ESPECIALLY NOW WE SEE THE BULL MARKET IS OVER AND WE'RE IN FAIR MARKET TERRIT ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin is expected to have a bear market bottom around $55,000, which is identified as a significant price support level based on historical data [2][3] - The bear market bottom typically takes time to form, with the price likely to hover around the bottom level for 4-6 months [3] - Current indicators suggest that Bitcoin is still in the "bear" phase and has not yet entered the "extreme bear" phase that usually signals the start of a bottom [3] Price Predictions - Standard Chartered forecasts that Bitcoin could drop to $50,000 before any potential rebound towards $100,000 [4] - Predictors on Myriad suggest a similar outlook, with expectations for Bitcoin to decline to $55,000 before a rise to $84,000 [4] - As of the latest data, Bitcoin has recently traded at approximately $69,724, reflecting a 27% drop over the past 30 days and nearly a 45% decline from its all-time high of $126,080 [5]

Core Insights - The market capitalization growth of USDT, the largest stablecoin, has shifted from slowing to negative, indicating potential bearish market conditions [1][2] - Changes in USDT's market cap serve as a proxy for investor sentiment and can suggest future market scenarios [1] Group 1: Market Cap Trends - CryptoQuant's 60-day average USDT Market Cap Change turned negative in February, marking a significant shift since the last occurrence in Q3 2023 [2] - USDT's market cap has declined from over $187 billion to $184.3 billion since early January, reflecting a decrease in demand for newly issued USDT [5] - Tether's recent burn activities, including the burning of 3.5 billion USDT on February 10 and 3 billion USDT the previous month, have contributed to this decline [6][7] Group 2: Market Implications - The correlation between Bitcoin's price and USDT market cap growth indicates that negative growth leads to capital exiting the market, weakening buying power and fragile downside support [4] - Historical data suggests that negative market cap growth phases typically last around two months, often coinciding with Bitcoin's sideways movement and local bottoms [8] - A bearish scenario is outlined where Bitcoin could fall below $43,000 if the key support level of $63,000 is breached [9]