🔥 TODAY: Bernstein analysts say Bitcoin has broken its 4-year cycle pattern and is now in an elongated bull cycle, raising price targets to $150K in 2026 and $200K peak in 2027. https://t.co/fg4FGPoCOv ...

🎥 WATCH: @dgt10011 of ProCap BTC argues in a new interview that Bitcoin may be shifting from a four-year cycle to a faster two-year rhythm driven by institutional flows and ETF dynamics. https://t.co/oIJ87pI8nq ...

Market Cycle Analysis - The Bitcoin cycle exists, but its correlation with time-based assumptions is diminishing, with other factors becoming more relevant [4] - The 4-year halving cycle still exists as a technical component of Bitcoin, but its relationship with price appreciation or depreciation is weakening [3] - The market has witnessed an occasional 35% correction [2] Impact of ETFs - Bitcoin ETFs have introduced nearly 60,000 BTC in liquidity, changing the price dynamics of Bitcoin [5] - Institutional demand through ETFs has established a new Bitcoin price floor, more than 100% higher than the previous one [6] Macroeconomic Factors - Bitcoin is a high Beta risk-on asset that performs well during economic growth but struggles during social and economic unrest or when Gold accelerates [8] - Liquidity cycles before 2008 averaged 8-10 years, contrasting with the 4-year liquidity cycle observed after 2008 [11] Correlation Analysis - The strength of the Chinese Yuan (CNY) against the US Dollar (USD) is a core indicator of strength for businesses in the US and the global economy, impacting risk-on investment behavior [15] - Historically, bottoms in CNY/USD have coincided with bottoms in ETH/BTC [15] - Comparing current cycles to previous ones suggests the Bitcoin cycle might be extended, potentially mirroring the middle of 2016 or 2019 [17] Future Outlook - Looking forward to 2026-2027, several factors suggest a potentially bullish outlook, including Bank of America opening up Bitcoin ETF allocations, the Clarity Act enabling DeFi solutions for institutions, and the FED potentially lowering interest rates [21][22] - The current stage is comparable to Q1/Q2 2016 or Q4 2019, suggesting the market is nowhere near a top [20]

Bitcoin Cycle Analysis - The Bitcoin cycle, often based on the 4-year halving cycle, is a core investment dynamic in Web3, but its relationship with price appreciation is diminishing due to other factors [1][3] - The market experienced a 35% correction, highlighting the ongoing debate between bulls and bears regarding the 4-year cycle's validity [2] - The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs has significantly altered the price dynamics, injecting nearly 60,000 BTC in liquidity and establishing a new price floor more than 100% higher than the previous one [4][5] Macroeconomic Factors - Macroeconomic headwinds, including quantitative tightening (QT) and high interest rates, continue to influence the Bitcoin cycle [6] - Bitcoin's performance is inversely correlated with the strength of Gold, as it thrives during economic growth but struggles during social and economic unrest [7] - Liquidity cycles were significantly longer before 2008, averaging between 8-10 years, suggesting the current cycle might be in the middle of a larger bull cycle [9] Correlation and Future Outlook - The correlation between the strength of the Chinese Yuan (CNY/USD) and Ethereum against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) may indicate an extended Bitcoin cycle, potentially mirroring the mid-stages of 2016 or 2019 [12][13][14][15] - Combining the business cycle with Bitcoin cycles suggests the market might be in the middle of a peak bear phase, comparable to Q1/Q2 2016 or Q4 2019 [17][18] - Looking forward to 2026-2027, factors like Bank of America's allowance for Bitcoin ETF allocation, the Clarity Act, and potential quantitative easing (QE) suggest a less bearish outlook than the traditional 4-year cycle would indicate [19][20]

The 4 year presidential cycle has some eery similarities to the Bitcoin 4 year cycle. Let's take a look. Follow Jerry V. Hall - https://x.com/Jerryvhall1 ●▬▬▬▬▬▬CRYPTO CRITICAL VIDEOS▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● 1. THE 5 RULES - https://youtu.be/iNBiZ5Bo__U 2. AVOID ALL SCAMS. SOURCE IT - https://youtube.com/live/m77Oxmh70Zc 3. DON'T FALL FOR A.I. SCAMS! - https://youtu.be/8m4M0lvP5-o 4. WHY STORAGE DIVERSIFICATION? - https://youtu.be/j3ORFfbnB6Q 5. DYNAMIC DCA'ing - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dbd03iAw0HQ 6. WHEN I'M SELL ...

🚨 CMC News: Bitcoin Cycle Persists With 70% Drop Expected, Says VC.🔗 https://t.co/s5dKKY5xUY https://t.co/xEMvsprrfx ...

Tom Lee: Bitcoin Cycle Is Lengthening, 50% Drawdowns Still PossibleIn an Oct 24 interview with Anthony Pompliano, Bitmine chairman Tom Lee questioned whether the "four-year cycle" still holds. He argued that when "everyone" expects a peak early next year, that consensus is unlikely to be right. Lee said ETF-driven institutional participation may be stretching the cycle — making price action smoother and more macro-sensitive — but volatility remains: "50% drawdowns may still occur."Source: https://t.co/TOfTV ...

Market Trends - Bitcoin 周期达到历史最长，目前处于前所未有的境地 [1] - 行业假设当前 BTC 周期尚未达到顶峰 [1] Data Tracking - 可在此处跟踪数据：https://t.co/f7m7oM9Txn [1]

🚨 CMC News: Bitcoin Cycle May Run Longer Than Expected, Per ISM Data.🔗 https://t.co/tsQJ4g8rT5 https://t.co/qNuT8oTTRa ...

In December 2023, an anonymous user predicted Bitcoin would hit its cycle peak on October 6, 2025Bitcoin peaked at $126,270 on October 6Down 11% sinceIf the pattern continues, Bitcoin will set a bear market low one year from now, right on schedule with its 4-year cycle. https://t.co/loiYr23XFD ...