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Technical trading versus buy and hold: a framework using common indicators in the US stock market
Risk.net· 2025-11-20 13:42
Core Insights - The paper presents a technical trading framework that incorporates trend-following, conditional active trading, stop-loss mechanisms, and trading volume to formulate trading strategies [1] - This framework integrates multiple trading principles rather than relying on a single indicator, providing a comprehensive approach to technical analysis [1] - Empirical results from 2007 to 2023 indicate that strategies derived from this framework outperform the buy-and-hold strategy for US index exchange-traded funds like SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust and Invesco QQQ Trust (Series 1) [1] Trading Strategies - The study utilizes common technical indicators such as moving average crossovers and moving average convergence/divergence [1] - Machine learning techniques applied to a large, survivorship-bias-free US stock sample from 2000 to 2023 show that selected strategies yield higher average returns and lower drawdowns compared to the buy-and-hold approach [1] - An optimized multilayer perceptron neural network is used for strategy parameter selection, enhancing the effectiveness of the trading strategies [1] Volatility Analysis - Moving average gap volatility and downside price volatility are identified as valuable factors in the parameter selection process for the trading strategies [1]
Warren Buffett's farewell: Berkshire's $880B empire enters a new chapter
Youtube· 2025-11-15 19:00
Core Insights - Warren Buffett, at 95 years old, is officially stepping down from his leadership role at Berkshire Hathaway after six decades, passing the reins to Greg Abel [1] - Buffett emphasizes the importance of learning from mistakes, appreciating opportunities in America, and the value of kindness in his final messages [1] Company Transition - Greg Abel, who is 63 years old, is taking over as the new leader of Berkshire Hathaway, and he is seen as a suitable successor due to his background and experience within the company [6][13] - Abel has a history of running Berkshire Hathaway's energy business and is described as having a strong Midwestern ethos, which aligns with Buffett's values [6][9] Buffett's Legacy - Buffett's annual letters to shareholders have been a significant part of his legacy, often filled with wisdom and insights that resonate with investors [5][12] - He reflects on the advantages of being based in Omaha, highlighting it as a beneficial place for business and family life [9][10] Market Philosophy - Buffett acknowledges that stock prices can be volatile, sometimes dropping by 50%, but reassures that America and the stock market will recover over time, reinforcing a long-term investment philosophy [11] - The discussion around Buffett's succession raises questions about generational change in leadership and the potential for new perspectives in the company [12][14]
Why Jim Cramer thinks the stock market isn't loved
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-07 12:51
Core Insights - Investor sentiment is currently characterized by uncertainty about capitalism despite strong stock market performance in 2023 [1][2] - Historical market downturns in 2000 and 2008 continue to influence investor behavior, leading to a preference for traditional stocks over volatile investments [2][3] - The S&P 500 has increased nearly 15% year-to-date, with notable performers including Robinhood, Seagate Technology, Western Digital, Newmont, and Palantir [3] Market Performance - The S&P 500 is up nearly 15% year-to-date [3] - The Russell 2000 has increased by 11.61% [3] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen by 9.76% [3] Investment Philosophy - There is a contrast between short-term thinking prevalent among younger investors and the long-term investment philosophy advocated by Warren Buffett [3] - Cramer emphasizes the importance of understanding traditional metrics like P/E ratios and the value of compounding [3] - The perception of the market as a domain for billionaires has contributed to investor skittishness [4]
X @Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒
Investment Strategy - The strategy is to buy and hold USELESS coin [1] - The strategy should not be over complicated [1]